The Physics of Radio Propagation
Every mobile network ever built faces the same fundamental enemy: physics. The moment a radio signal leaves an antenna, it begins to weaken. Understanding exactly how and why it weakens — and building mathematical models that predict that weakening — is the foundation upon which every cell plan, every coverage map, and every link budget is constructed. Get the propagation model wrong, and you build a network that either wastes money on unnecessary sites or leaves customers without coverage.
Why Signals Weaken: The Inverse Square Law
In the simplest possible case — empty space with no obstacles — a radio signal spreads outward from the transmitter as an expanding sphere. The surface area of a sphere is 4πr², so the power density (watts per square metre) at distance d decreases as 1/d². Double the distance, and the received power drops to one quarter. This is the inverse square law, and it sets the absolute minimum signal loss for any wireless link.
In decibels, this relationship is captured by the Free Space Path Loss (FSPL) equation:
Where f is frequency in MHz and d is distance in km. Also written as: FSPL = 20·log10(4πd/λ)
Notice the 20·log10(f) term: doubling the frequency adds 6 dB of loss. This is why mmWave signals at 28 GHz suffer about 22 dB more free-space loss than a 700 MHz signal at the same distance. It is not that the wave “weakens faster” at higher frequency — the spreading loss is the same. The difference is that a higher-frequency signal has a shorter wavelength, which means a fixed-size receive antenna captures a smaller fraction of the expanding sphere.
Imagine throwing a ball in different environments. In an open field (free space), the ball travels far and straight. In a forest (urban), it bounces off trees and loses energy. In a canyon (street canyon), the walls guide it farther than you would expect. In a fog bank (molecular absorption), the air itself slows the ball. Propagation models are the physics equations that predict where the ball lands in each of these environments.
Three Mechanisms: Reflection, Diffraction, Scattering
In the real world, signals rarely travel in a straight line from transmitter to receiver. Three physical mechanisms alter the signal path:
- Reflection occurs when a wave encounters a surface much larger than its wavelength (buildings, the ground, water). The wave bounces in a predictable direction according to Snell’s law. This is the dominant mechanism in urban areas and creates strong multipath components.
- Diffraction occurs when a wave encounters an edge or corner of an obstacle (rooftop, hilltop, building corner). The wave “bends” around the obstacle, enabling NLOS (Non-Line-of-Sight) coverage. Diffraction loss increases sharply with frequency, which is why mmWave signals penetrate poorly behind obstacles while sub-1 GHz signals wrap around buildings.
- Scattering occurs when a wave encounters objects comparable in size to its wavelength (lamp posts, leaves, raindrops, surface roughness). The wave is dispersed in many directions. At mmWave frequencies, even small objects become effective scatterers.
Additional Propagation Phenomena
Beyond the three primary mechanisms, several additional phenomena affect radio propagation in real-world deployments:
Atmospheric Refraction
The refractive index of the atmosphere decreases with altitude, causing radio waves to bend slightly downward. This “standard atmosphere” refraction extends the radio horizon beyond the geometric horizon by approximately 15%. RF engineers use an “effective Earth radius” of K · Rearth where K = 4/3 = 1.333 to account for this bending. Under anomalous atmospheric conditions (temperature inversions, ducting), K can increase to 2 or more, enabling signals to propagate hundreds of kilometres beyond the normal range — this is the well-known “tropospheric ducting” phenomenon that can cause interference between distant cells.
Ground Reflections and Fresnel Zones
For terrestrial LOS links, the ground-reflected ray interferes with the direct ray. The result depends on the phase difference between the two paths, which varies with distance, antenna heights, and frequency. The Fresnel zone — an ellipsoidal region around the direct path — defines the volume of space that must be kept clear of obstructions for efficient propagation. The first Fresnel zone radius at the midpoint of a link of length d at frequency f is:
At 3.5 GHz, 500 m link: r1 ≈ √(0.086 · 125) = 3.3 m
At 28 GHz, 500 m link: r1 ≈ √(0.0107 · 125) = 1.16 m
For reliable LOS: at least 60% of the first Fresnel zone should be unobstructed.
At mmWave, the Fresnel zone is remarkably narrow (just over 1 metre at midpoint for a 500 m link). This means that even a single tree branch or street lamp entering the first Fresnel zone can measurably affect signal quality. Conversely, it means that narrow beams from massive MIMO arrays can thread between obstacles that would block lower-frequency signals.
Diffraction Loss: The Knife-Edge Model
When a radio wave encounters a sharp edge (rooftop, hilltop, building corner), it diffracts around the obstacle according to Huygen’s principle. The simplest model for single-edge diffraction is the knife-edge diffraction model, characterized by the Fresnel-Kirchhoff diffraction parameter ν:
Where h = height of obstruction above LOS path, d1 = TX-to-edge distance, d2 = edge-to-RX distance
Diffraction loss (approximate for ν > 1):
Ldiff ≈ 6.9 + 20 · log10(√((ν-0.1)²+1) + ν - 0.1) (dB)
For ν = 0 (grazing): Ldiff ≈ 6 dB. For ν = 1: Ldiff ≈ 13 dB. For ν = 2.4: Ldiff ≈ 20 dB.
The critical frequency dependence is in the √(1/λ) term: at higher frequencies (shorter λ), the diffraction parameter ν increases for the same geometry, meaning more diffraction loss. A building corner that causes 10 dB of diffraction loss at 700 MHz may cause 20+ dB at 3.5 GHz and 30+ dB at 28 GHz. This is the physical mechanism behind the dramatic LOS/NLOS path loss difference at mmWave.
In urban environments, signals typically diffract over multiple building rows (multi-screen diffraction). Models like the Deygout method (using the dominant edge) and the Bullington equivalent-edge method are used to handle multiple diffracting edges. TR 38.901 does not model individual diffracting edges — their cumulative effect is captured statistically in the NLOS PLE and shadow fading.
Foliage Loss
Vegetation attenuation is a significant but often overlooked factor, especially in suburban and rural environments. Trees and dense foliage absorb and scatter radio energy. The ITU-R P.833 recommendation provides models for vegetation loss:
- Sub-1 GHz: 0.2–0.5 dB/m of foliage depth. A 10 m deep tree canopy adds 2–5 dB.
- 3.5 GHz: 0.5–1.5 dB/m. The same 10 m canopy adds 5–15 dB. Significant for street-level small cells on tree-lined avenues.
- 28 GHz: 3–5 dB/m. Even a single tree (2–3 m depth) adds 6–15 dB. Dense foliage can completely block mmWave signals.
- Seasonal variation: Deciduous trees in temperate climates can show 10–15 dB less foliage loss in winter (bare branches) compared to summer (full canopy). Network planning must consider worst-case seasonal conditions.
Path Loss vs. Fading: The Critical Distinction
Engineers must distinguish between two types of signal variation:
- Path loss (large-scale) is the predictable, distance-dependent reduction in signal power. It changes slowly as the user moves — on the order of tens of metres. This is what propagation models predict.
- Fading is the random fluctuation around the predicted path loss. Shadow fading (large-scale fading) is caused by buildings and terrain blocking the signal and follows a log-normal distribution with standard deviation typically 4–8 dB. Small-scale fading (multipath fading) varies on the scale of half a wavelength (about 5 cm at 3.5 GHz) and follows Rayleigh or Rician distributions.
A propagation model predicts the median path loss. Shadow fading is added as a random variable with a specified standard deviation. Small-scale fading is handled separately in channel models (e.g., the spatial channel model SCM or the cluster delay line CDL model).
The Link Budget Equation
Every wireless link can be expressed as a link budget — a simple accounting of gains and losses from transmitter to receiver:
Where:
Ptx = transmit power
Gtx, Grx = transmit and receive antenna gains
PL = path loss (what propagation models predict)
Lmisc = miscellaneous losses (cable, body, penetration, fade margin)
For coverage: Prx must exceed receiver sensitivity (typically -100 to -120 dBm for cellular)
The propagation model is the heart of this equation. Everything else — transmit power, antenna gain, receiver sensitivity — is known hardware specification. Path loss is the unknown that determines whether a link works or fails. This is why propagation modeling matters more than any other aspect of network planning.
Why Frequency Matters: The Wavelength Perspective
The interaction between radio waves and the physical environment is fundamentally governed by the ratio of wavelength to object size. This ratio determines which of the three mechanisms (reflection, diffraction, scattering) dominates:
- Object >> λ: Strong reflection and shadowing. A building (10 m) at 3.5 GHz (λ = 8.6 cm) is ~116 wavelengths across — it creates a sharp shadow with clear reflection.
- Object ≈ λ: Strong scattering. A lamp post (15 cm diameter) at 28 GHz (λ = 10.7 mm) is ~14 wavelengths across — it scatters energy in many directions.
- Object << λ: Wave passes through with minimal interaction. A 1 cm pebble at 700 MHz (λ = 43 cm) is invisible to the wave.
This is why the same urban environment produces fundamentally different propagation at different frequencies. At 700 MHz, radio waves diffract around buildings and penetrate walls easily. At 28 GHz, they bounce off surfaces like light, cannot penetrate solid walls, and scatter from objects that were invisible at lower frequencies. At 140 GHz, even rough surfaces scatter energy, and atmospheric molecules absorb it.
Polarization Effects
Radio waves are electromagnetic waves with electric and magnetic field components that oscillate perpendicular to the direction of propagation. The orientation of the electric field defines the polarization. Polarization effects become increasingly important at higher frequencies:
- Vertical polarization (V-pol): The electric field oscillates vertically. V-pol experiences less reflection loss from the ground at typical elevation angles, making it preferred for land mobile communications.
- Horizontal polarization (H-pol): The electric field oscillates horizontally. H-pol may experience less foliage attenuation in some configurations.
- Cross-polarization ratio (XPR): In LOS conditions, the XPR can exceed 25 dB (strong polarization preservation). In NLOS, scattering and reflection depolarize the signal, reducing XPR to 5–10 dB. TR 38.901 specifies XPR for each scenario.
- Dual-polarized MIMO: Modern 5G NR systems use ±45° slant-polarized antenna elements. The cross-polar isolation between these polarizations provides a second MIMO layer without requiring spatial separation, effectively doubling spectral efficiency when the channel supports it.
At mmWave frequencies, polarization purity is higher in LOS (XPR > 20 dB) but rapidly degrades after reflections (XPR drops to 5–8 dB after a single reflection). This means that dual-polarized massive MIMO systems at mmWave can reliably achieve 2x spatial multiplexing in LOS but must fall back to single-layer operation in rich NLOS environments.
Temporal Variability
Propagation conditions are not static — they vary over multiple timescales:
- Milliseconds: Small-scale fading from multipath. Varies at half-wavelength intervals (5 mm at 28 GHz). Managed by OFDM and HARQ.
- Seconds: Shadowing changes from vehicle and pedestrian movement. Decorrelation distance 10–50 m.
- Minutes to hours: Traffic density changes, weather variations (rain onset/cessation), atmospheric pressure changes.
- Seasonal: Foliage changes in deciduous trees (10+ dB variation between summer and winter at 3.5 GHz). Building construction and demolition.
- Diurnal: Temperature and humidity cycles affect atmospheric refraction, particularly for long-range links (RMa, NTN).
TR 38.901 captures only the spatial variability (path loss + shadow fading at a snapshot in time). Temporal variability is handled by the small-scale fading model (CDL/TDL) for fast variations and by operational margins in the link budget for slow variations. For NTN links, temporal variability from atmospheric conditions is a primary design concern.
The Pioneers — Classic Empirical Models
Before 5G, before 3GPP TR 38.901, RF engineers relied on empirical models derived from extensive measurement campaigns. These models remain in use for 2G/3G/4G planning and serve as the conceptual foundation for modern models. Every RF engineer must understand them.
Okumura-Hata Model (1968/1980)
Yoshihisa Okumura conducted the seminal measurement campaign in Tokyo in 1968, measuring signal strength across a wide range of frequencies (200–1920 MHz), distances (1–100 km), and antenna heights. His 1968 paper, published in the journal of the Institute of Electronics and Communication Engineers of Japan, presented results as correction factor curves plotted on graph paper — precise enough for engineering use but cumbersome to implement in computer simulations.
In 1980, Masaharu Hata of Okumura’s laboratory converted these graphical results into closed-form equations, creating the most widely used propagation model in the history of mobile communications. The genius of Hata’s formulation was its simplicity: the entire urban propagation environment was captured in a single logarithmic equation with correction factors for antenna height and city size.
Applicability and Validity Range
The Okumura-Hata model is valid under these specific conditions:
- Frequency: 150–1500 MHz
- Distance: 1–20 km (not valid below 1 km due to near-field effects of urban clutter)
- BS antenna height: 30–200 m (above rooftop level)
- UE antenna height: 1–10 m
- Terrain: Quasi-smooth terrain (not mountainous)
Using the model outside these bounds — particularly at frequencies above 1500 MHz or distances below 1 km — can produce significant errors. The model was never intended for small cell or micro cell planning.
+ (44.9 - 6.55 · log10(hb)) · log10(d)
Where:
f = frequency (MHz), d = distance (km)
hb = base station height (30–200 m)
a(hm) = mobile correction factor
Medium city: a(hm) = (1.1·log10(f) - 0.7)·hm - (1.56·log10(f) - 0.8)
Large city (f ≥ 400 MHz): a(hm) = 3.2·(log10(11.75·hm))² - 4.97
COST 231 Hata Model
The European COST 231 project extended the Hata model to cover 1500–2000 MHz, enabling planning for GSM 1800 and early UMTS networks. The formula adds a metropolitan correction factor Cm:
+ (44.9 - 6.55 · log10(hb)) · log10(d) + Cm
Cm = 0 dB (medium city / suburban)
Cm = 3 dB (metropolitan / dense urban)
Suburban and Open Area Corrections
The base Okumura-Hata formula predicts urban path loss. For suburban and open (rural) areas, correction factors are applied:
Open area: PLopen = PLurban - 4.78 · (log10(f))² + 18.33 · log10(f) - 40.94 (dB)
At 900 MHz: suburban correction ≈ -9.8 dB; open area correction ≈ -28.5 dB
The open area correction of nearly 29 dB at 900 MHz illustrates the enormous impact of the urban environment on path loss. A rural open field has path loss close to free space, while a dense city adds 29 dB of additional clutter loss from buildings, vehicles, and other obstructions.
COST 231 Walfisch-Ikegami (W-I) Model
The W-I model adds physical parameters — building heights, street widths, street orientation angle — to capture the “street canyon” waveguide effect in urban environments. It was developed under the European COST 231 project (1989–1996) and represents a transition from purely empirical models toward semi-deterministic approaches. It provides separate LOS and NLOS formulas:
W-I NLOS PLNLOS = PLfree-space + PLrts + PLmsd
PLrts = rooftop-to-street diffraction; PLmsd = multi-screen diffraction (building rows)
W-I NLOS Components
The W-I NLOS formula decomposes the total path loss into three physically meaningful components:
The W-I model’s major innovation was incorporating street orientation. A street aligned directly toward the BS (incident angle φ = 0°) has 10–15 dB less loss than a street perpendicular to the BS direction (φ = 90°). This anisotropic coverage pattern is well-documented in urban measurement campaigns and is physically intuitive — a street pointing toward the BS acts as a waveguide, while a perpendicular street forces the signal to diffract around a corner.
SUI (Stanford University Interim) Model
The SUI model, developed for IEEE 802.16 (WiMAX) in 2001 by Stanford University and AT&T Wireless, classifies terrain into three categories and uses a modified path loss exponent. It was designed for fixed broadband wireless access at frequencies from 2 to 11.5 GHz:
- Category A: Maximum path loss (hilly terrain, heavy tree density). γ ranges from 4.6 to 6.4.
- Category B: Moderate path loss (hilly with light vegetation, flat with moderate-to-heavy). γ ranges from 4.0 to 5.2.
- Category C: Minimum path loss (flat terrain, light tree density). γ ranges from 3.6 to 4.4.
A = 20 · log10(4πd0/λ) (free space loss at d0 = 100 m)
γ = a - b·hb + c/hb (path loss exponent)
Category A: a=4.6, b=0.0075, c=12.6 (hilly, heavy trees)
Category B: a=4.0, b=0.0065, c=17.1 (hilly or flat, moderate trees)
Category C: a=3.6, b=0.005, c=20.0 (flat, light trees)
Xf = 6·log10(f/2000) (frequency correction, f in MHz)
Xh = -10.8·log10(hr/2) (UE height correction for Cat A/B)
Xh = -20·log10(hr/2) (UE height correction for Cat C)
s = shadow fading (8.2–10.6 dB depending on category)
ECC-33 Model
The ECC-33 model, developed by the Electronic Communications Committee (a body within CEPT), extends empirical models to modern cellular bands up to 3.5 GHz. It was developed in 2003 to support spectrum planning for 3G/4G services in European countries. The model extrapolates Okumura measurements using a combination of free space attenuation, basic median path loss, and BS/UE height gain factors.
Afs = 92.4 + 20·log10(d) + 20·log10(f) (free space, d in km, f in GHz)
Abm = 20.41 + 9.83·log10(d) + 7.894·log10(f) + 9.56·(log10(f))²
Gb = log10(hb/200)·(13.958 + 5.8·(log10(d))²) (BS height gain)
Gr = (42.57 + 13.7·log10(f))·(log10(hr) - 0.585) (UE height gain)
Comparison of Classic Models
| Parameter | Okumura-Hata | COST 231 Hata | W-I | SUI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freq Range | 150–1500 MHz | 1500–2000 MHz | 800–2000 MHz | 2–11.5 GHz |
| Distance | 1–20 km | 1–20 km | 0.02–5 km | 0.1–8 km |
| BS Height | 30–200 m | 30–200 m | 4–50 m | 10–80 m |
| Environment | Urban/Suburban | Urban/Suburban | Urban streets | Suburban/Rural |
| Based on | Tokyo measurements | European cities | Building geometry | IEEE 802.16 data |
| PLE (typical) | 3.5–4.5 | 3.5–4.5 | 2.6 (LOS), 3.8+ (NLOS) | 3.6–6.4 |
| Best for | 2G/3G macro | GSM 1800, UMTS | Dense urban micro | WiMAX, fixed wireless |
3GPP References: Classic models are referenced in 3GPP TR 36.942 (E-UTRA radio frequency system scenarios). The Okumura-Hata and COST 231 Hata models are used as the basis for inter-site distance calculations in LTE system-level simulations.
Limitations of Classic Models
Despite their widespread use, classic empirical models have fundamental limitations that made them inadequate for 5G NR planning:
- Frequency ceiling: Okumura-Hata stops at 1500 MHz; COST 231 Hata at 2000 MHz. Neither can model the 3.5 GHz (n78) or 28 GHz (n257/n258) bands that define 5G NR.
- No LOS/NLOS distinction: Classic models produce a single path loss value without explicitly separating LOS and NLOS conditions. This matters enormously at mmWave frequencies where the LOS/NLOS difference exceeds 30 dB.
- No 3D distance: Classic models use horizontal distance only. At mmWave frequencies with small cell radii, the vertical component (BS height minus UE height) becomes a significant fraction of the total distance.
- No indoor scenarios: Classic models are exclusively outdoor macro. They cannot model indoor hotspot or factory environments.
- Measurement-specific bias: Okumura’s data was from 1960s Tokyo. Urban environments have changed significantly in building materials, heights, and density.
These limitations drove 3GPP to develop an entirely new channel model framework for 5G NR, which we explore beginning in Chapter 3.
“Okumura-Hata served the mobile industry faithfully for nearly 40 years. But asking it to predict mmWave propagation is like asking a horse-drawn carriage to navigate a highway — the physics have fundamentally changed.”
The case for new propagation modelsThe 3GPP Revolution — TR 38.901 Framework
When 3GPP began standardizing 5G NR in Release 14, the existing propagation models were fundamentally inadequate. Okumura-Hata could not handle frequencies above 2 GHz. COST 231 stopped at 2 GHz. WiMAX-era models lacked the scenario diversity needed for 5G’s vastly different deployment types. 3GPP needed a single, unified channel model framework that could span 0.5 to 100 GHz, cover every environment from rural fields to factory floors, and be validated against the most extensive measurement campaign in wireless history.
The result was 3GPP TR 38.901 (“Study on channel model for frequencies from 0.5 to 100 GHz”), which built upon the earlier 3GPP TR 36.873 (for sub-6 GHz LTE-Advanced) and the ITU-R M.2412 calibration requirements. Measurement data came from research labs worldwide: NYU Wireless, Ericsson, Nokia, Samsung, Qualcomm, Huawei, NIST, and dozens of universities across Europe, Asia, and North America.
Model Structure: The Three Layers
Every TR 38.901 scenario follows the same structure:
Key Parameters
- d3D: 3D distance between BS and UE = √(d2D² + (hBS - hUT)²)
- d2D: 2D horizontal distance between BS and UE
- hBS: Base station antenna height above ground
- hUT: User terminal antenna height above ground (default 1.5 m outdoor)
- fc: Carrier frequency in GHz
- dBP: Breakpoint distance = 4 · h′BS · h′UT · fc / c, where h′ = h - hE (effective heights)
Frequency Range: TR 38.901 is validated from 0.5 GHz to 100 GHz. For frequencies above 100 GHz, additional molecular absorption terms must be added (see Chapter 11). The model is used for both FR1 (410 MHz – 7.125 GHz) and FR2 (24.25 GHz – 52.6 GHz) in 3GPP NR.
Deployment Scenarios at a Glance
| Scenario | BS Height | Freq Range | Max Distance | Key Use Case |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMa | 25 m | 0.5–100 GHz | 5 km | Urban macro cells |
| UMi-SC | 10 m | 0.5–100 GHz | 5 km | Street-level small cells |
| RMa | 35 m (typ.) | 0.5–30 GHz | 21 km | Rural coverage |
| InH-Office | 3 m (ceiling) | 0.5–100 GHz | 150 m | Office/commercial indoor |
| InF-SL/DL/SH/DH | 1–25 m | 0.5–100 GHz | 600 m | Factory / Industry 4.0 |
Measurement Campaign Foundation
TR 38.901 is not a theoretical model — it is grounded in the largest coordinated measurement campaign in wireless history. Key contributors and their measurement bands include:
- NYU Wireless (NYU, USA): Extensive campaigns at 28 GHz, 38 GHz, 73 GHz, and 140 GHz in New York City. Pioneered the CI model methodology and provided critical outdoor urban data.
- Ericsson: Measurements at 2 GHz, 15 GHz, 28 GHz, and 60 GHz across Stockholm and other European cities. Focus on UMa and UMi scenarios with calibrated channel sounders.
- Nokia Bell Labs: Indoor and outdoor campaigns at 10 GHz, 28 GHz, and 60 GHz. Factory environment measurements that informed the InF model.
- Samsung: Dense urban measurements at 28 GHz and 39 GHz in Seoul and Daejeon. Key data for high-frequency UMi validation.
- Qualcomm: Measurements at 28 GHz and 60 GHz in San Diego. Contributed to O2I penetration loss characterization.
- Huawei: Campaigns at 3.5 GHz, 6 GHz, and 28 GHz in Beijing and Shanghai. Large dataset for UMa validation in Asian urban environments.
- NIST (USA): Factory environment measurements at 28 GHz that were essential for the InF model development.
This global measurement foundation ensures that TR 38.901 is not biased toward any single city, building style, or equipment vendor. The model has been cross-validated against independent datasets from multiple continents.
How TR 38.901 Relates to Other Standards
TR 38.901 does not exist in isolation. It builds upon and relates to several other channel models:
- 3GPP TR 36.873 (Rel-12): The predecessor model for LTE-Advanced, covering 2–6 GHz with 3D geometry. TR 38.901 extends this to 0.5–100 GHz and adds mmWave-specific features.
- ITU-R M.2412 (IMT-2020 evaluation): The ITU-R evaluation methodology for 5G (IMT-2020) candidate technologies. TR 38.901 was designed to be compatible with M.2412 calibration scenarios.
- 3GPP TR 38.900 (Rel-14): The initial study on channel models above 6 GHz that preceded TR 38.901. Some early 5G simulations reference 38.900, but 38.901 supersedes it.
- WINNER II / WINNER+ models: European research project models that influenced 3GPP’s approach, particularly the scenario classification (UMa, UMi, RMa, InH) and the stochastic channel generation method.
- mmMAGIC model: EU Horizon 2020 project channel model for 6–100 GHz. Its measurements directly contributed to TR 38.901 validation.
Applying the Complete Channel Model
It is important to understand that path loss (which this article focuses on) is only one component of the complete TR 38.901 channel model. The full model also generates:
For network planning (coverage prediction), only the path loss formulas are needed. For system-level capacity simulations (throughput, latency, reliability), the complete model with all LSPs and SSPs must be generated. For link-level simulations (BLER curves, HARQ performance), the cluster delay line (CDL) or tapped delay line (TDL) simplifications are used.
Common Simulation Parameters
For engineers setting up 3GPP-compliant system-level simulations, TR 38.901 Section 7.2 specifies default parameter values. Here are the most commonly used ones for each scenario:
| Parameter | UMa | UMi-SC | RMa | InH-Office |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| hBS | 25 m | 10 m | 35 m | 3 m (ceiling) |
| hUT | 1.5–22.5 m | 1.5–22.5 m | 1.5 m | 1–2.5 m |
| hUT default | 1.5 m | 1.5 m | 1.5 m | 1.5 m |
| ISD | 500 m (dense), 1732 m | 200 m | 1732–5000 m | — |
| Min 2D distance | 35 m | 10 m | 35 m | 1 m |
| Max 2D distance | 5000 m | 5000 m | 10000 m | 150 m |
| Building height | 20 m (avg) | Building < BS | 5 m | 3 m (room) |
| Street width | 20 m | 20 m | 20 m | — |
Correlation Between LSPs
An important but often overlooked aspect of TR 38.901 is the cross-correlation between large-scale parameters. For example, in UMa NLOS:
- DS vs. ASA: Correlation = 0.4 (longer delay spread correlates with wider angular spread)
- DS vs. K-factor: Correlation = -0.4 (longer delay spread in non-LOS-dominant conditions)
- SF vs. DS: Correlation = -0.5 (more shadowing = less multipath delay spread)
- SF vs. K-factor: Correlation = 0.5 (less shadowing = stronger direct path = higher K-factor)
These cross-correlations ensure that the generated channel parameters are physically consistent. Without them, the simulation could produce impossible combinations (e.g., high K-factor with long delay spread, which would require both a strong direct path and strong scattering simultaneously).
The Role of TR 38.901 in 5G NR Evaluation
When 3GPP evaluated candidate 5G NR technologies against the IMT-2020 requirements, TR 38.901 was the mandatory channel model for all simulations. This means that every 5G NR feature — from the OFDM numerology to massive MIMO to LDPC/Polar coding — was designed and optimized against TR 38.901 channel conditions. The model is not just a planning tool; it is embedded in the DNA of 5G NR itself.
For this reason, using a different propagation model for network planning (e.g., reverting to Okumura-Hata at sub-6 GHz) creates a systematic mismatch between the channel the system was designed for and the channel the planner assumes. While the difference may be manageable at low frequencies, it becomes significant at mmWave where the 3GPP model captures phenomena (LOS probability, breakpoint distance, shadow fading correlation) that classic models do not.
O2I Model Integration in TR 38.901
A commonly misunderstood aspect of TR 38.901 is how outdoor-to-indoor users are handled in system-level simulations. The specification defines that for each user, the simulator must:
- Determine indoor/outdoor status: Based on the simulation parameters, a fraction of users are designated as “indoor” (typically 80% in urban scenarios per ITU-R M.2412).
- For indoor users, assign building type: Low-loss or high-loss, based on the deployment scenario (e.g., 70% high-loss in dense urban, 30% high-loss in suburban).
- Calculate outdoor path loss: Use the UMa or UMi model to calculate path loss from BS to the building facade.
- Add O2I loss: Apply the building penetration loss (PLtw) from Table 7.4.3-1/2 based on building type, frequency, and material composition.
- Add indoor distance loss: Draw a random indoor depth din uniformly between 0 and 25 m, then add 0.5·din dB.
- Add O2I shadow fading: Draw from N(0, σp²) where σp = 4.4 dB (low-loss) or 6.5 dB (high-loss).
This procedure ensures that system-level simulation results include the impact of indoor users, which is critical for capacity evaluation. Without O2I modeling, simulations would overestimate the SINR of indoor users (by 15–30 dB at 3.5 GHz) and produce unrealistically optimistic throughput predictions.
High-Rise Building Effects
TR 38.901 includes a special provision for high-rise buildings in the UMa scenario. For UE heights above 13 m (approximately the 4th floor), the LOS probability function includes a height-dependent correction term C′(d, hUT) that increases LOS probability for elevated users. This is physically correct: a user on the 20th floor of a building has a better chance of LOS to a macro cell than a ground-level user because the signal passes above many intervening buildings.
However, the effective antenna height h′UT in the breakpoint distance calculation also changes for elevated users. The effective environment height hE is randomly selected from a discrete distribution:
hE = 12 · (nfl - 1) + 1.5 m (with probability 1 - P1)
Where nfl = floor number, uniformly distributed in [1, Nfl]
Nfl = floor(hUT - 1.5) / 3
This models the fact that a user on the 10th floor effectively “sees” a different propagation environment than a ground-level user, with fewer obstructions between BS and UE.
In practice, high-rise modeling is important for cities with significant vertical development (Mumbai, Delhi NCR, Bangalore, Hyderabad). Users on upper floors may receive stronger signals from distant cells (due to elevated LOS) while suffering worse SINR from increased inter-cell interference (visible to more cells). This trade-off between coverage improvement and interference increase at height is a key consideration for dense urban network optimization.
UMa — Urban Macro
The Urban Macro (UMa) scenario models conventional macro cells with base station antennas mounted above rooftop level. It is the workhorse model for 5G NR coverage planning in cities. The base station height is assumed to be 25 m, and the UE height defaults to 1.5 m outdoor (but can range from 1.5 to 22.5 m for high-rise users).
UMa LOS Path Loss
for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ d′BP
PL2 = 28.0 + 40 · log10(d3D) + 20 · log10(fc)
- 9 · log10((d′BP)² + (hBS - hUT)²)
for d′BP < d2D ≤ 5000 m
d′BP = 4 · h′BS · h′UT · fc · 109 / c
h′BS = hBS - hE, h′UT = hUT - hE
hE = 1 m (effective environment height)
Shadow fading: σSF = 4 dB
The breakpoint distance is the transition point where the path loss exponent (PLE) changes from 2.2 (below breakpoint) to 4.0 (above breakpoint). Below the breakpoint, there is constructive interference between the direct ray and the ground-reflected ray. Above the breakpoint, the two rays begin to interfere destructively, causing faster power decay.
Breakpoint Distance at Key Frequencies
The breakpoint distance is directly proportional to frequency, which has major implications for cell planning:
| Frequency | d′BP (UMa) | d′BP (UMi) | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 GHz | 112 m | 42 m | Most UMa users beyond breakpoint (PLE=4) |
| 2.1 GHz | 336 m | 126 m | Moderate breakpoint, balanced coverage |
| 3.5 GHz | 560 m | 210 m | Many UMa users within breakpoint (PLE=2.2) |
| 28 GHz | 4,480 m | 1,680 m | All practical users within breakpoint |
| 39 GHz | 6,240 m | 2,340 m | Breakpoint irrelevant (cells too small) |
At mmWave frequencies, the breakpoint distance exceeds the maximum cell range, meaning that all users are in the PLE=2.2 regime for LOS. This is a favourable property — mmWave LOS path loss grows relatively slowly with distance. The problem at mmWave is not the LOS path loss (which is manageable); it is the transition to NLOS (which is catastrophic).
UMa NLOS Path Loss
- 0.6 · (hUT - 1.5)
for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ 5000 m
Shadow fading: σSF = 6 dB
Note: PLUMa-NLOS = max(PLUMa-LOS, PLUMa-NLOS) per TR 38.901
The difference between LOS and NLOS at 500 m is a staggering 31.6 dB — a factor of over 1,400 in received power. This demonstrates why LOS probability is critical for coverage planning.
UMa at mmWave: 28 GHz Example
The same UMa formulas apply at mmWave frequencies, but the numbers become dramatically different:
At 28 GHz, even the LOS path loss at just 200 m exceeds 107 dB. Combine this with the fact that LOS probability at 200 m in UMa is only ~18%, and you understand why mmWave 5G NR has inter-site distances of 100–200 m (compared to 500–1500 m for sub-6 GHz).
UMa Path Loss: Complete Frequency Comparison
To provide a complete reference for network planning across all 5G NR frequency bands, here is UMa NLOS path loss at key distances for every major band:
| Distance | 700 MHz | 2100 MHz | 3500 MHz | 28 GHz | 39 GHz |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 m (NLOS) | 83.5 dB | 93.1 dB | 97.6 dB | 115.5 dB | 118.4 dB |
| 100 m (NLOS) | 95.3 dB | 104.8 dB | 109.3 dB | 127.2 dB | 130.1 dB |
| 200 m (NLOS) | 107.1 dB | 116.6 dB | 121.1 dB | 139.0 dB | 141.9 dB |
| 500 m (NLOS) | 122.7 dB | 132.3 dB | 136.8 dB | 154.7 dB | 157.6 dB |
| 1000 m (NLOS) | 134.5 dB | 144.0 dB | 148.5 dB | 166.4 dB | 169.3 dB |
This table makes several planning realities immediately clear:
- At 700 MHz (n28): NLOS coverage at 1 km is viable (134.5 dB vs. 155 dB link budget = 20.5 dB margin)
- At 3.5 GHz (n78): NLOS coverage beyond 500 m is marginal (136.8 dB, only ~18 dB margin with massive MIMO)
- At 28 GHz (n257): NLOS coverage beyond 200 m is essentially impossible (139 dB, only ~16 dB margin, consumed by shadow fading + body loss)
- At 39 GHz (n260): NLOS coverage beyond 100 m requires extraordinary beamforming gain
UMa Optional NLOS Formula
TR 38.901 also provides an optional UMa NLOS formula based on the 3D distance model with different coefficients. This alternative was derived from a different subset of measurement data and can be used for cross-validation:
This simpler formula uses a fixed PLE of 3.0 and is useful for quick estimates.
Shadow Fading Correlation
Shadow fading is not independent between nearby locations. TR 38.901 specifies spatial correlation using an exponential autocorrelation model:
UMa LOS: dcor = 37 m
UMa NLOS: dcor = 50 m
Where Δd is the distance between two UE positions. This ensures nearby locations experience similar shadow fading.
This correlation matters for system-level simulations: without it, interference between users would be unrealistically variable, leading to optimistic throughput predictions. Decorrelation distances of 37–50 m mean that shadow fading is essentially constant within a typical cell sector but varies between sectors.
UMi — Urban Micro (Street Canyon)
The Urban Micro – Street Canyon (UMi-SC) scenario models small cells deployed below rooftop level. The base station height is 10 m — typically a lamp post or low building facade mount. This model captures the waveguide effect of street canyons, where signal energy is confined between parallel rows of buildings, resulting in lower path loss along the street and higher loss perpendicular to it.
for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ d′BP
PL2 = 32.4 + 40 · log10(d3D) + 20 · log10(fc)
- 9.5 · log10((d′BP)² + (hBS - hUT)²)
for d′BP < d2D ≤ 5000 m
Shadow fading: σSF = 4 dB
- 0.3 · (hUT - 1.5)
for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ 5000 m
Shadow fading: σSF = 7.82 dB
Key Differences from UMa
- Lower BS height: 10 m (vs. 25 m for UMa), meaning the BS is embedded within the urban clutter rather than above it.
- PLE (LOS): 2.1 (vs. 2.2 for UMa) — the street canyon waveguide effect slightly reduces loss along the street axis.
- PLE (NLOS): 3.53 (vs. 3.91 for UMa) — shorter inter-site distances mean fewer obstructions.
- Faster LOS probability decay: The lower BS height means buildings block the LOS path sooner. At 200 m, UMi LOS probability is only about 18%, compared to about 18% for UMa (they converge at this distance).
- Shadow fading (NLOS): 7.82 dB (vs. 6 dB for UMa) — more variation because the signal path is more sensitive to individual building geometries.
Frequency Scaling in UMi
One of the most important practical aspects of the UMi model is how path loss scales with frequency. The 20·log10(fc) term in the LOS formula means that every octave of frequency adds 6 dB of loss. The 21.3·log10(fc) term in the NLOS formula means slightly more than 6 dB per octave. To illustrate:
| Frequency | UMi-LOS @ 100m | UMi-NLOS @ 100m | Δ from 3.5 GHz |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 GHz (n28) | 74.7 dB | 90.3 dB | -14 / -17 dB |
| 2.1 GHz (n1) | 83.6 dB | 101.2 dB | -5 / -6 dB |
| 3.5 GHz (n78) | 88.6 dB | 107.1 dB | Reference |
| 28 GHz (n257) | 106.5 dB | 127.7 dB | +18 / +21 dB |
| 39 GHz (n260) | 109.4 dB | 131.0 dB | +21 / +24 dB |
| 60 GHz (unlicensed) | 113.1 dB | 135.4 dB | +25 / +28 dB |
The 18 dB LOS increase from 3.5 GHz to 28 GHz must be compensated by antenna gain. A 3.5 GHz antenna element has an area of λ²/(4π) ≈ 5.8 cm². At 28 GHz, the element area shrinks to 0.09 cm² — but you can fit 64 times as many elements in the same physical aperture. A 64T64R massive MIMO panel at 28 GHz provides approximately 18 dBi of beamforming gain, which exactly compensates the increased free-space loss. This is the fundamental reason why massive MIMO is not optional at mmWave — it is a physical necessity.
Street Canyon Waveguide Effect
The UMi-SC model captures a phenomenon unique to urban street canyons: the street itself acts as a waveguide. Parallel rows of buildings confine the radio energy within the street, reducing path loss along the street axis compared to what would be expected from free-space spreading. This is why the UMi-SC LOS PLE (2.1) is lower than free-space (2.0) in some measurement campaigns — the walls actively help by reflecting energy back into the propagation corridor.
However, turning a corner into a perpendicular street immediately transitions the channel from LOS to NLOS, with a sudden 15–25 dB increase in path loss. This discontinuity is a major challenge for mmWave mobility: a UE moving at walking speed (5 km/h) can experience a 30 dB signal change in less than a second when rounding a corner. 5G NR beam management (SSB beam sweeping, CSI-RS based beam refinement) is specifically designed to handle these rapid channel transitions.
“In a street canyon, the radio engineer has a friend in the buildings on either side — they guide the signal like the walls of a fibre optic cable. But turn the corner, and that friendship ends abruptly.”
The street canyon waveguide paradoxRMa — Rural Macro
The Rural Macro (RMa) scenario models base stations in open rural environments with large inter-site distances. Buildings are sparse and low (typically 5 m), and the terrain is relatively flat. This model supports ranges up to 21 km and is limited to frequencies up to 30 GHz — rural mmWave deployment is not yet a standard use case.
- min(0.044·h1.72, 14.77) + 0.002 · log10(h) · d3D
for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ dBP
Where h = average building height (default 5 m)
dBP = 2π · hBS · hUT · fc · 109 / c
Shadow fading: σSF = 4 dB (LOS), 8 dB (NLOS)
- (24.37 - 3.7 · (h/hBS)²) · log10(hBS)
+ (43.42 - 3.1 · log10(hBS)) · (log10(d3D) - 3)
+ 20 · log10(fc) - (3.2 · (log10(11.75 · hUT))² - 4.97)
Where W = street width (default 20 m), h = building height (default 5 m)
Valid for 10 m ≤ d2D ≤ 5000 m, 0.5 ≤ fc ≤ 30 GHz
RMa is the only scenario in TR 38.901 with an explicit frequency ceiling of 30 GHz. The reasoning is straightforward: rural deployments with large cell radii and low subscriber density have no economic justification for mmWave, and no measurement campaigns have validated rural propagation at frequencies above 30 GHz.
“The RMa model is the longest-range scenario in the entire 3GPP framework — up to 21 km. At sub-1 GHz bands, a single rural macro cell can serve an area larger than many European cities.”
Practical implication for network planningAt 700 MHz with a 35 m tower, a rural cell can maintain an NLOS path loss below 141 dB at 5 km. Given a typical rural link budget margin of 150 dB (high-power BS, low noise figure, receiver sensitivity of -110 dBm), this allows comfortable coverage with roughly 9 dB of margin for shadow fading and body loss.
RMa vs. UMa: When Rural Meets Urban
In practice, many real-world deployments blur the line between rural and urban. Suburban areas, peri-urban regions, and small towns may have characteristics of both. The key differentiators are:
- Building height: RMa assumes 5 m (1–2 storey), UMa assumes buildings are above 10 m
- Street width: RMa assumes 20 m (wider roads), UMa does not explicitly include street width
- BS height: RMa allows up to 150 m (tall lattice towers), UMa is typically 25 m (rooftop)
- Clutter density: RMa assumes sparse buildings with open fields between them
For suburban environments that fall between these extremes, many operators use UMa with a reduced shadow fading standard deviation (5 dB instead of 6 dB) as a pragmatic compromise.
RMa for 5G FWA (Fixed Wireless Access)
One of the most important applications of the RMa model is Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) planning. FWA uses 5G NR to replace or supplement wired broadband connections, particularly in rural areas where fibre deployment is economically infeasible. Key planning considerations:
- CPE (Customer Premises Equipment) height: Unlike mobile UEs at 1.5 m, FWA CPEs are mounted on rooftops or walls at 5–10 m. This significantly improves LOS probability and reduces path loss by 5–10 dB compared to mobile use.
- High-gain CPE antenna: FWA CPEs typically use directional antennas with 8–14 dBi gain, compared to 0 dBi for mobile UE. This additional gain extends the viable cell radius.
- Target throughput: FWA requires sustained 50–100 Mbps, which demands a minimum SNR of approximately 10–15 dB. This translates to a maximum path loss approximately 10 dB less than the voice coverage limit.
- Frequency selection: n28 (700 MHz) for maximum range in rural areas, n78 (3.5 GHz) for capacity in suburban FWA deployments.
This example illustrates why 5G FWA at 700 MHz is a commercially viable alternative to fibre in rural India. With Airtel’s n28 band and rooftop CPEs, a single rural macro cell can provide broadband service to a village 8 km away with data rates exceeding 100 Mbps.
RMa Limitations and Alternatives
While the RMa model serves well for flat rural terrain, India’s diverse geography includes mountains (Himalayas, Western Ghats), dense forests (Northeast, central India), and desert (Rajasthan), none of which are well-characterized by the default RMa model. For these special environments:
- Mountainous terrain: Use the ITU-R P.526 diffraction method with digital terrain elevation data (SRTM 30m or higher resolution). Mountain ridges act as knife-edge diffracting obstacles. The path loss can vary by 30+ dB depending on whether the terrain blocks or clears the Fresnel zone. RMa does not capture terrain-specific diffraction.
- Dense forest: Add ITU-R P.833 vegetation loss (0.5–2 dB/m at 3.5 GHz through forest canopy). A 100 m forest strip can add 50–200 dB at mmWave, effectively creating an impenetrable barrier. At sub-1 GHz, the same forest adds 5–15 dB — challenging but manageable.
- Desert/semi-arid: Hot desert conditions create super-refractive atmospheric layers that can cause multipath fading on long links (ducting). The RMa model assumes standard refractivity. For desert links exceeding 5 km, an additional 3–5 dB ducting margin is advisable.
- Coastal: Sea surface reflections create strong two-ray multipath. Over-water links experience periodic deep fades as the ground-reflected ray alternates between constructive and destructive interference with varying distance. RMa is not validated for over-water propagation; use the ITU-R P.1546 model instead.
RMa Path Loss at Candidate Rural Frequencies
For rural India planning, the following table compares path loss at the three most relevant frequencies across the RMa range. All values assume hBS = 35 m, hUT = 1.5 m, LOS condition:
| Distance | 700 MHz (n28) | 2100 MHz (n1) | 3500 MHz (n78) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 km | 91 dB | 101 dB | 106 dB |
| 3 km | 101 dB | 111 dB | 116 dB |
| 5 km | 106 dB | 116 dB | 121 dB |
| 10 km | 114 dB | 124 dB | 129 dB |
| 15 km | 119 dB | 129 dB | 134 dB |
| 21 km | 123 dB | 133 dB | 138 dB |
At 700 MHz (n28), a rural cell achieves 123 dB path loss at the maximum 21 km range. With a typical rural macro link budget of 155+ dB (65 dBm EIRP + 0 dBi UE gain vs. -90 dBm sensitivity), there remains 32 dB of margin for shadow fading, body loss, and O2I penetration into rural homes. This is why n28 is the foundation of rural 5G coverage in India and globally.
InH & InF — Indoor Models
Indoor propagation behaves fundamentally differently from outdoor. Walls, floors, ceilings, furniture, and people all interact with radio waves at close range. 3GPP TR 38.901 defines two indoor scenarios: InH (Indoor Hotspot – Office) and InF (Indoor Factory), the latter added in Release 16 to support Industry 4.0 and URLLC requirements.
InH-Office
Shadow fading: σSF = 3 dB
PLE = 1.73 — below free-space (PLE = 2.0)! The indoor waveguide effect channels energy along corridors.
Shadow fading: σSF = 8.03 dB
The InH-Office LOS PLE of 1.73 is remarkable — it is lower than free space! This occurs because office corridors act as waveguides, with reflections from walls, ceiling, and floor constructively reinforcing the direct signal. This phenomenon is well-documented in measurements and is physically accurate, not a model artifact.
InF — Indoor Factory
The factory environment introduces a new parameter: clutter density, which accounts for metallic machinery, storage racks, conveyor systems, and other industrial equipment. The InF model defines four sub-scenarios:
Shadow fading: σSF = 4 dB
Industry 4.0 Relevance: The InF model is critical for URLLC planning in factories. A 99.999% reliability target at 1 ms latency demands precise propagation modeling. The difference between InF-SL and InF-DH can mean 8–12 dB additional loss, which directly translates to AP density requirements (and CAPEX).
An indoor LOS path loss of only 68.8 dB at 30 m is remarkably low. For comparison, a sub-6 GHz small cell with 24 dBm EIRP and an InH AP with receive sensitivity of -100 dBm has a link budget of 124 dB — leaving over 55 dB of margin. This explains why a single Wi-Fi 6 access point or 5G NR small cell can cover an entire floor of an open-plan office.
InF NLOS Formulas by Sub-Scenario
InF-DL: PL = 18.6 + 35.7·log10(d3D) + 20·log10(fc), σSF = 7.2 dB
InF-SH: PL = 32.4 + 23.0·log10(d3D) + 20·log10(fc), σSF = 5.9 dB
InF-DH: PL = 33.63 + 21.9·log10(d3D) + 20·log10(fc), σSF = 4.0 dB
SL=Sparse-Low, DL=Dense-Low, SH=Sparse-High, DH=Dense-High. Dense = ≥40% clutter density.
The InF-DL sub-scenario has the highest NLOS PLE at 3.57, reflecting the severe obstruction from dense metallic machinery at low BS heights. In contrast, InF-DH has a lower PLE (2.19) because the high ceiling-mounted BS can “see over” the machinery, maintaining quasi-LOS conditions to many locations. This counterintuitive result has been confirmed by NIST measurements in automotive assembly plants and metal fabrication facilities.
InF-SH (sparse clutter, high BS) is like an airport terminal with a high ceiling and widely spaced seating areas. InF-DL (dense clutter, low BS) is like a crowded warehouse with floor-level lighting. In the airport terminal, signals from ceiling antennas reach most areas easily. In the warehouse, the signal must weave through stacked shelves and containers, losing energy at every obstruction.
O2I Penetration & Material Losses
Outdoor-to-Indoor (O2I) penetration loss is one of the most critical factors in 5G planning. Modern building materials — particularly low-emissivity (low-E) glass and reinforced concrete — create severe signal barriers at 5G frequencies. The total O2I loss is the sum of building penetration loss and indoor propagation loss.
PLtw = PLnpi - 10 · log10(Σ pi · 10-Lmaterial_i/10)
PLin = 0.5 · d2D-in (indoor distance loss, 0.5 dB/m)
Where PLnpi is non-penetrating wall loss and pi is the proportion of each material type
Material Penetration Losses
| Material | Loss Formula (dB) | @ 3.5 GHz | @ 28 GHz | @ 39 GHz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Glass | 2 + 0.2·f | 2.7 dB | 7.6 dB | 9.8 dB |
| IRR Glass (Low-E) | 23 + 0.3·f | 24.1 dB | 31.4 dB | 34.7 dB |
| Concrete | 5 + 4·f | 19.0 dB | 117.0 dB | 161.0 dB |
| Wood | 4.85 + 0.12·f | 5.3 dB | 8.2 dB | 9.5 dB |
Low-Loss vs. High-Loss Buildings
TR 38.901 classifies buildings into two categories:
- Low-loss buildings: Older construction with standard glass, thin walls, and wooden frames. O2I loss at 3.5 GHz is typically 10–15 dB. These buildings are well-served by outdoor macro cells.
- High-loss buildings: Modern construction with IRR glass (energy-efficient), thick concrete walls, and metal cladding. O2I loss at 3.5 GHz can exceed 25 dB, and at 28 GHz can exceed 40 dB. These buildings require dedicated indoor small cells.
mmWave O2I Loss: At 28 GHz, a single pane of IRR glass adds 31.4 dB of loss. Combined with the concrete exterior wall (117 dB, though in practice signals enter through windows), total O2I loss can reach 40–50 dB. This is why indoor small cells or Distributed Antenna Systems (DAS) are mandatory for mmWave indoor coverage in modern buildings.
O2I Loss at Key 5G NR Frequencies
To provide practical reference values for network planners, the following table summarizes total O2I building penetration losses for typical low-loss and high-loss buildings:
| Frequency | Low-Loss Building | High-Loss Building | Planning Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| 700 MHz (n28) | 11 dB | 17 dB | Indoor coverage possible from macro |
| 1800 MHz (n3) | 14 dB | 22 dB | Indoor coverage marginal from macro |
| 2100 MHz (n1) | 15 dB | 24 dB | Indoor requires strong outdoor signal |
| 3500 MHz (n78) | 18 dB | 30 dB | Indoor small cells often needed |
| 28 GHz (n257) | 28 dB | 42+ dB | Indoor small cells mandatory |
| 39 GHz (n260) | 32 dB | 48+ dB | No outdoor-to-indoor penetration |
The table reveals a stark reality: at mmWave frequencies, even low-loss buildings impose nearly 30 dB of penetration loss. For a 28 GHz macro cell with 65 dBm EIRP (typical for a 64T64R massive MIMO panel), the additional 30–42 dB of O2I loss reduces the effective indoor range to just tens of metres. This is the fundamental reason why 5G NR mmWave is primarily an outdoor or dedicated indoor technology.
Indoor Distance Loss
Once the signal penetrates the building exterior, it continues to lose power as it propagates through the indoor environment. TR 38.901 models this as a simple linear loss:
Where d2D-in is the horizontal distance from the exterior wall to the UE position (metres). A UE 20 m inside a building adds 10 dB of indoor loss.
The total O2I path loss is therefore: outdoor path loss (UMa or UMi to the building exterior) + building penetration loss (PLtw) + indoor distance loss (0.5·din) + indoor shadow fading (4.4 dB standard deviation for low-loss, 6.5 dB for high-loss).
Complete O2I Worked Example
The Modern Building Problem
The proliferation of energy-efficient building design has created a growing challenge for mobile network operators. Modern buildings increasingly use:
- Low-E (low-emissivity) glass: Metal oxide or metallic coatings on window glass that reflect infrared radiation to improve thermal insulation. These coatings are highly reflective at radio frequencies, adding 20–35 dB of loss per pane.
- Metal-clad facades: Aluminum composite panels (ACPs) and similar metal cladding used for architectural aesthetics and weather protection. These can add 30+ dB of penetration loss.
- Reinforced concrete: Steel rebar in concrete walls creates a Faraday cage effect, blocking RF signals. The effect increases with frequency.
- Multi-pane windows: Double and triple-pane windows with metal-coated glass and argon gas filling add cumulative loss from each pane and the gas layers.
In India’s rapidly modernizing cities, new commercial buildings (IT parks, corporate offices, shopping malls) are predominantly high-loss constructions. This has led operators to deploy extensive in-building DAS (Distributed Antenna Systems) and small cell networks in premium buildings, adding significantly to CAPEX. The emergence of transparent RIS technology (Chapter 13) may eventually provide a less expensive solution by selectively allowing radio signals to pass through otherwise opaque building envelopes.
O2I Planning Strategies for Indian Operators
For Indian operators like Airtel, Jio, and Vi, the O2I challenge is particularly acute due to the rapid proliferation of modern buildings in metro and tier-1 cities. Here are practical strategies informed by the propagation models in this guide:
Floor Loss and Multi-Floor Coverage
When an indoor small cell serves users on multiple floors, inter-floor penetration loss must be considered. TR 38.901 does not explicitly define inter-floor loss, but measurements from various studies provide practical values:
| Floors Penetrated | 3.5 GHz Loss | 28 GHz Loss | Construction Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 floor | 15–20 dB | 25–35 dB | Reinforced concrete slab |
| 2 floors | 25–30 dB | 40–50 dB | Cumulative |
| 3+ floors | 30–40 dB | 50+ dB | Signal effectively blocked |
| 1 floor (wooden) | 8–12 dB | 15–20 dB | Wooden joist/plywood floor |
The implication is clear: in modern concrete buildings, each indoor small cell effectively serves only its own floor. Multi-floor coverage from a single AP is not viable at 3.5 GHz (except in wooden/lightweight construction) and impossible at mmWave. Network planners must provision one set of indoor APs per floor in concrete buildings.
LOS Probability Models
The LOS probability function determines the likelihood that a direct, unobstructed path exists between the base station and the user at a given 2D distance. This is arguably the most impactful part of the channel model, because LOS and NLOS path loss can differ by 20–40 dB. A network planned assuming optimistic LOS conditions will dramatically under-provision coverage.
· [1 + C′(d2D, hUT) · (5/4) · (d2D/100)3 · e-d2D/150]
C′(d2D, hUT) = 0 if hUT ≤ 13 m
C′(d2D, hUT) = ((hUT - 13)/10)1.5 · g(d2D) if 13 < hUT ≤ 23 m
PLOS(d2D) = e-(d2D-1.2)/4.7 for 1.2 < d2D ≤ 6.5 m
PLOS(d2D) = e-(d2D-6.5)/32.6 · 0.32 for d2D > 6.5 m
Practical Impact
| Distance (d2D) | UMa PLOS | UMi PLOS | RMa PLOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 m | 100% | 100% | 99.2% |
| 50 m | 63% | 61% | 96.1% |
| 100 m | 39% | 30% | 91.4% |
| 200 m | 18% | 18% | 82.7% |
| 500 m | 4% | 3.6% | 61.3% |
| 1000 m | 1.8% | 1.8% | 37.0% |
In an urban macro deployment at 200 m, only about 18% of user locations are LOS. At 500 m, it drops to 4%. This means that in practical 5G NR coverage planning, the NLOS formula dominates the coverage prediction for the vast majority of the cell area.
InF LOS Probability
For factory environments, the LOS probability depends on the sub-scenario (clutter density and BS height). The InF models use a unique formulation based on clutter height and density:
where ks = -dclutter / ln(1 - r)
InF-DL/InF-DH: PLOS = e-d2D/kd
where kd = -dclutter / ln(1 - r)
r = clutter density ratio (0–1), dclutter = average clutter size. For typical factory: r=0.4 (sparse), r=0.7 (dense), dclutter=10 m.
Why LOS Probability Matters More at mmWave
The importance of LOS probability increases dramatically with frequency. At 700 MHz, diffraction around buildings is effective, so even NLOS users receive usable signal. The LOS/NLOS path loss difference at 700 MHz is about 15–20 dB. At 28 GHz, diffraction is negligible (wavelength is 10.7 mm, far smaller than building dimensions), so the LOS/NLOS difference can exceed 30–40 dB. This means:
- At 700 MHz (n28): A user in NLOS at 300 m is still within coverage. LOS probability is a secondary planning factor.
- At 3.5 GHz (n78): NLOS coverage requires careful link budget analysis. LOS probability determines the coverage confidence level.
- At 28 GHz (n257): Only LOS users have reliable coverage. NLOS users are effectively out of range. LOS probability is the primary planning metric.
Think of low-frequency signals as a room lamp — the light diffuses around furniture and reaches every corner, even if dimly. mmWave signals are like a laser pointer — brilliant where they hit directly, but completely blocked by anything in the path. LOS probability tells you what percentage of the room the laser can reach directly.
Stochastic vs. Map-Based LOS
The TR 38.901 LOS probability functions are stochastic: they predict the probability of LOS at a given distance without reference to the actual building layout. In real network planning, tools like Atoll, Planet, and Ranplan use 3D building databases to determine LOS/NLOS deterministically for each pixel. The stochastic model is used for system-level simulations where per-pixel building data is not available or would be computationally prohibitive for Monte Carlo runs involving thousands of user drops.
Applying LOS Probability in System Simulations
In a 3GPP-compliant system-level simulation (such as those required for Release evaluation), LOS probability is applied as follows:
- Drop users randomly within the simulation area according to the defined user distribution (typically uniform).
- For each user, calculate the 2D distance to the serving BS.
- Draw a random number U ~ Uniform(0,1). If U < PLOS(d2D), assign LOS condition; otherwise assign NLOS.
- Apply the corresponding path loss formula (LOS or NLOS) to calculate the median path loss.
- Add shadow fading as a zero-mean Gaussian with the appropriate standard deviation (LOS or NLOS).
- Ensure spatial consistency: Nearby users should have the same LOS/NLOS status (within the correlation distance). This prevents physically impossible situations where adjacent users see different LOS conditions.
The combined effect of LOS probability and the LOS/NLOS path loss difference creates a bimodal received signal distribution at any given distance. Instead of a smooth Gaussian (as implied by a single path loss formula + shadow fading), the actual distribution has two peaks: one for LOS users (high RSRP) and one for NLOS users (low RSRP). This bimodal distribution is critical for accurate coverage and capacity predictions.
Practical Impact: At 3.5 GHz, 200 m from an UMa BS: 18% of users enjoy ~90 dB path loss (LOS) while 82% suffer ~127 dB (NLOS). The cell-edge user experience is therefore dominated by the NLOS population. Coverage optimization should focus on improving NLOS conditions through downtilt adjustment, inter-site distance reduction, or small cell overlay.
CI and ABG Research Models
Alongside the 3GPP standardized models, academic research has produced two important alternative path loss models. The Close-In (CI) model and the Alpha-Beta-Gamma (ABG) model were championed by NYU Wireless (Prof. Theodore Rappaport’s group) and have been extensively validated through measurement campaigns from 0.5 to 150 GHz.
CI (Close-In Free Space Reference Distance) Model
FSPL(f, 1m) = 32.4 + 20 · log10(fGHz) (free space loss at 1 metre)
n = path loss exponent (PLE), Xσ = shadow fading ~ N(0, σ²)
The CI model has a single free parameter: the PLE n. The 1-metre reference point is physically anchored to the free-space path loss at that distance, making the model inherently consistent across frequencies. This physical grounding is the CI model’s greatest strength — it cannot predict less loss than free space at 1 metre.
CIF (CI with Frequency-Dependent PLE) Model
NYU Wireless also proposed an extension called the CIF model, which adds a frequency-dependent term to the PLE:
Where b is the frequency-dependent PLE adjustment factor and f0 is the reference frequency. If b = 0, CIF reduces to CI.
The CIF model was proposed to capture the observation that the PLE sometimes varies slightly with frequency (e.g., NLOS PLE may increase at mmWave due to reduced diffraction). However, analysis by Rappaport et al. showed that the improvement from adding the b parameter is statistically marginal in most environments, and the simpler CI model is preferred for its parsimony and physical interpretability.
ABG (Alpha-Beta-Gamma) Model
α = distance dependence exponent, β = offset (dB), γ = frequency dependence factor
The ABG model has three free parameters, giving it more flexibility to fit measurement data. However, this flexibility comes at a cost: the model can predict physically impossible results (e.g., less loss than free space at certain distances and frequencies) because the floating intercept β is not anchored to physics.
The CI vs. ABG Debate
The choice between CI and ABG has been one of the most debated topics in the propagation modeling community. The debate centers on a fundamental trade-off between physical interpretability and statistical fit:
- CI advocates (led by NYU Wireless) argue that the physically anchored 1m reference point ensures the model behaves correctly at all distances and frequencies, even when extrapolating beyond measurement data. The single-parameter simplicity makes it easy to compare environments and frequencies. And the PLE is physically meaningful — it describes the rate of power decay with distance.
- ABG advocates (various European groups) argue that the additional parameters allow better fit to measurement data, especially when the frequency-dependent propagation characteristics deviate from the simple log-distance relationship. The floating intercept can capture scenario-specific effects (like wall penetration in indoor environments) that the CI model lumps into the PLE.
In practice, the difference in prediction accuracy between CI and ABG is usually less than 1 dB when both are fitted to the same measurement data. The CI model is preferred for cross-frequency analysis and initial system design, while ABG is sometimes used for site-specific optimization when detailed measurement data is available. 3GPP TR 38.901 uses neither CI nor ABG directly but employs scenario-specific formulas that share structural elements with both.
CI vs. ABG vs. 3GPP: When to Use Each
| Criterion | CI Model | ABG Model | 3GPP TR 38.901 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free parameters | 1 (PLE) | 3 (α, β, γ) | Scenario-specific |
| Physical anchor | Yes (FSPL at 1m) | No (floating) | Varies |
| Cross-frequency | Inherently consistent | Can be inconsistent | Validated per scenario |
| Best for | Research, quick estimates | Curve-fitting to data | Standards-compliant planning |
| Industry adoption | Academic (NYU) | Academic | Industry standard |
| Freq range tested | 0.5–150 GHz | 0.5–150 GHz | 0.5–100 GHz |
NYU Wireless Measurement Campaigns
The most extensive validation of the CI model comes from NYU Wireless, led by Professor Theodore S. Rappaport. Their measurement campaigns have produced foundational datasets at frequencies from 2 GHz to 150 GHz across multiple environments:
- 28 GHz outdoor (2013): 75 TX-RX location pairs in New York City. Found PLE of 2.55 (LOS) and 5.76 (NLOS) using omnidirectional antennas, or 2.0 (LOS) and 3.4 (NLOS) using directional best-beam measurements.
- 73 GHz outdoor (2014): 36 TX-RX pairs. PLE of 2.0 (LOS) and 3.2 (NLOS) with directional antennas. Confirmed that mmWave propagation is viable for cellular when directional antennas are used.
- 28/73 GHz indoor (2014–2015): Office and shopping mall environments. Found PLE of 1.6 (LOS, office) confirming the below-free-space indoor waveguide effect.
- 140 GHz outdoor (2019–2021): Pioneer sub-THz measurements in downtown Brooklyn. PLE of 2.0 (LOS) and 3.5 (NLOS). Molecular absorption adds only 0.25 dB at 100 m.
The CI model’s key finding: the PLE is remarkably consistent across frequencies for a given environment. Urban LOS PLE is approximately 2.0–2.1 from 2 GHz to 140 GHz. This frequency independence of the PLE (when FSPL is properly anchored at 1 m) is the strongest argument for the CI model’s physical basis.
Multi-Frequency Measurement Analysis
NYU Wireless published a landmark analysis in 2017 comparing PLEs across frequencies at the same locations in New York City. The results demonstrated the frequency-invariance of the CI PLE:
| Frequency | UMi LOS PLE | UMi NLOS PLE | σSF (LOS) | σSF (NLOS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 GHz | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.6 dB | 8.0 dB |
| 5.8 GHz | 1.98 | 3.22 | 3.2 dB | 8.3 dB |
| 10 GHz | 2.01 | 3.25 | 3.4 dB | 8.1 dB |
| 28 GHz | 1.98 | 3.19 | 3.1 dB | 8.2 dB |
| 38 GHz | 2.02 | 3.26 | 3.5 dB | 8.5 dB |
| 73 GHz | 2.00 | 3.21 | 3.0 dB | 7.9 dB |
| 140 GHz | 2.02 | 3.45 | 2.8 dB | 9.1 dB |
The LOS PLE varies from 1.98 to 2.07 across frequencies spanning 2.5 to 140 GHz — a remarkable consistency that supports the CI model’s physical foundation. The NLOS PLE shows slightly more variation (3.19–3.45), with a slight increase at 140 GHz likely due to reduced diffraction at shorter wavelengths.
This table also reveals an important practical insight: shadow fading is remarkably stable across frequencies, ranging from 2.8–3.6 dB in LOS and 7.9–9.1 dB in NLOS. This means that the randomness of propagation does not change significantly with frequency — only the deterministic path loss changes. Network planning margins for shadow fading can therefore be applied consistently across frequency bands.
Typical PLE Values (CI Model)
| Environment | PLE (LOS) | PLE (NLOS) | σSF LOS | σSF NLOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban Micro | 1.98 | 3.19 | 3.1 dB | 8.2 dB |
| Urban Macro | 2.00 | 3.52 | 4.0 dB | 7.8 dB |
| Indoor Office | 1.60 | 3.08 | 2.4 dB | 8.6 dB |
| Indoor Factory | 2.01 | 3.28 | 3.5 dB | 7.4 dB |
| Rural | 2.16 | 3.07 | 2.7 dB | 6.7 dB |
The Sub-THz Challenge (100–300 GHz)
The journey to 6G pushes wireless communications into the sub-terahertz (sub-THz) spectrum: 100–300 GHz. At these frequencies, a new physical phenomenon dominates the propagation channel — molecular absorption. Water vapor (H2O) and oxygen (O2) molecules resonate at specific frequencies, absorbing electromagnetic energy and converting it to heat. This absorption is negligible below 100 GHz but becomes a defining factor above it.
Molecular Absorption
The absorption coefficient k(f) determines how much additional loss per unit distance the atmosphere introduces at frequency f. At sea level with moderate humidity (50% RH, 20°C), the major absorption peaks are:
Between these peaks, transmission windows exist where absorption is relatively low:
- ~140 GHz window: k ≈ 0.002–0.01 dB/m. The most promising 6G band with 10+ GHz bandwidth. Candidate for 3GPP FR3.
- ~220 GHz window: k ≈ 0.01–0.05 dB/m. Wider bandwidth but higher absorption. Suitable for short-range high-rate.
- ~300 GHz window: k ≈ 0.02–0.08 dB/m. Extreme bandwidth (20+ GHz) but limited to very short distances.
PLspread = FSPL(f, 1m) + 10 · n · log10(d) (free-space spreading)
PLabsorption = k(f) · d (molecular absorption, linear in distance in dB)
PLscattering ≈ 0–5 dB (surface roughness scattering)
k(f) is the absorption coefficient in dB/m, derived from HITRAN spectroscopic database
The critical insight is that absorption loss scales linearly with distance (in dB). At 140 GHz with k = 0.005 dB/m, a 100-metre link adds only 0.5 dB of absorption. But at 183 GHz (peak), k can exceed 10 dB/m, making communication impossible beyond a few metres. System designers must carefully select frequencies within transmission windows.
Humidity and Temperature Dependence
Unlike terrestrial propagation models where environmental parameters are absorbed into statistical shadowing, sub-THz absorption is highly sensitive to atmospheric conditions:
- Humidity: Water vapour is the dominant absorber. At 140 GHz, absorption increases from ~0.003 dB/m at 20% RH to ~0.01 dB/m at 80% RH. Tropical climates face 2–3 times more absorption than arid regions.
- Temperature: Higher temperatures increase water vapour capacity of air. A 10°C increase at constant relative humidity roughly doubles the absolute humidity and correspondingly increases absorption.
- Altitude: Lower atmospheric pressure at altitude reduces molecular density, decreasing absorption. A hilltop deployment at 2000 m altitude sees roughly 20% less absorption than sea level.
- Rain: Raindrop scattering becomes significant above 100 GHz. At 200 GHz in heavy rain (50 mm/hr), rain attenuation can reach 20+ dB/km — comparable to or exceeding molecular absorption.
These dependencies mean that 6G sub-THz systems will need real-time atmospheric sensing to adapt their link budgets. A system designed for a sunny day in Delhi will not perform the same way during monsoon season. This represents a fundamental departure from current 5G NR systems, which treat atmospheric conditions as a static margin.
The HITRAN Database
The absorption coefficient k(f) is not a simple formula — it is computed from the HITRAN (High-Resolution Transmission Molecular Absorption) spectroscopic database, maintained by Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. HITRAN contains precise line-by-line absorption parameters for over 50 molecular species across the electromagnetic spectrum. For 6G channel modeling, the relevant species are H2O (water vapour) and O2 (molecular oxygen). The ITU-R Recommendation P.676 provides a simplified computational method based on HITRAN data for frequencies up to 1000 GHz.
Key Reference: ITU-R Recommendation P.676-13 (2022) “Attenuation by atmospheric gases and related effects” provides the authoritative method for computing molecular absorption at any frequency up to 1000 GHz, any altitude, and any atmospheric condition. This is the mandatory reference for any 6G channel model above 100 GHz.
Candidate 6G Frequency Bands
Based on the absorption spectrum analysis, several candidate frequency bands have emerged for 6G standardization. The selection balances available bandwidth against atmospheric loss:
| Band | Frequency Range | Available BW | Absorption @ 100m | Target Use Case |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D-Band (W1) | 130–175 GHz | ~45 GHz | 0.3–0.5 dB | Urban outdoor, backhaul, access |
| G-Band (W2) | 200–255 GHz | ~55 GHz | 1–5 dB | Short-range outdoor, indoor |
| W3 | 275–325 GHz | ~50 GHz | 2–8 dB | Indoor hotspot, kiosk |
| Upper mid-band | 7–24 GHz | Variable | Negligible | Coverage + capacity balance |
The D-Band (130–175 GHz) is widely considered the most promising 6G frequency range. It offers enormous bandwidth (45+ GHz, enabling peak data rates exceeding 100 Gbps) while keeping atmospheric absorption manageable (less than 0.5 dB at 100 m in the window around 140 GHz). WRC-27 agenda item 1.7 is expected to consider identification of bands above 100 GHz for IMT.
Link Budget Reality Check at Sub-THz
To understand whether sub-THz communication is actually viable, let us construct a complete link budget at 140 GHz and compare it to a 28 GHz mmWave link:
This link budget shows that sub-THz communication is not inherently impossible — the additional free-space loss (~14 dB from 28 to 140 GHz) is partially compensated by higher UE antenna gain (more elements fit in the same physical area at shorter wavelengths) and much wider bandwidth. The key technology challenges are the PA power (currently limited to ~10 dBm at 140 GHz in CMOS) and the noise figure (higher at sub-THz due to transistor limitations).
THz Channel Measurements & Proposed Models
The race to characterize the sub-THz channel has produced a burst of measurement campaigns and model proposals from leading research institutions worldwide. While no single model has achieved the consensus status of TR 38.901, several frameworks are converging toward what will become the 6G channel standard.
State of the Art: Where We Stand in 2026
As of early 2026, sub-THz channel characterization is progressing rapidly but remains far behind the maturity of TR 38.901. Key milestones:
- Measurement campaigns: Over 30 institutions worldwide have published sub-THz measurement results. Coverage ranges from indoor office to outdoor urban to industrial environments, but most campaigns are limited to LOS or simple NLOS geometries with small numbers of TX-RX positions.
- Channel sounders: Custom channel sounders at 140 GHz are now available from Keysight, Rohde & Schwarz, and several university groups. Bandwidth capabilities range from 2 GHz to 20 GHz, enabling sub-nanosecond delay resolution.
- Model proposals: At least 5 competing model frameworks exist (CI-based, ABG-based, ray-tracing hybrid, stochastic geometry, and neural network). No consensus has emerged on the optimal structure.
- Standardization: 3GPP Rel-20 (2026–2027) is expected to include a study item on channel models above 100 GHz. ITU-R WP 3K/3M is collecting national contributions. IEEE 802.15.3d has already standardized a model for 252–325 GHz.
Key Research Efforts
Where:
FSPL(f, 1m) = 32.4 + 20 · log10(fGHz) dB
n = path loss exponent (2.0–2.1 LOS, 3.2–3.6 NLOS)
αabs(f) = frequency-dependent absorption coefficient (dB/m)
Xσ ~ N(0, σ²), σ = 1.5–4 dB (LOS), 6–10 dB (NLOS)
Sub-THz Multipath: Fewer but Specular
One of the most significant differences between sub-6 GHz and sub-THz channels is the nature of multipath. At sub-6 GHz, dense scattering creates rich multipath with many clusters spanning wide angular ranges. At sub-THz, scattering from rough surfaces is suppressed (surface features must be comparable to the wavelength to scatter effectively), leaving only specular reflections from smooth surfaces (glass, metal, polished stone). The result is a channel with:
- Fewer multipath clusters: Typically 3–8 clusters at 140 GHz vs. 10–25 at 3.5 GHz
- Narrower angular spread: Clusters are tightly focused in angular domain
- Sparser power delay profile: Fewer resolvable delay taps, easier equalization
- Higher Rician K-factor: In LOS, the direct path dominates much more strongly
This sparsity is actually advantageous for massive MIMO beamforming: with fewer dominant paths, beam alignment is simpler and beamforming gain is higher. However, it means that beam diversity (using multiple reflected paths as backup beams) is more limited, increasing the impact of blockage events.
Human Body Blockage at Sub-THz
Human body blockage is a critical concern at sub-THz frequencies. At 140 GHz, the wavelength (2.1 mm) is far smaller than the human body, making diffraction negligible. A single person walking through the beam path can cause 15–30 dB of sudden signal loss lasting 200–500 ms. In crowded environments (concert halls, stadiums, dense urban sidewalks), simultaneous multi-person blockage is a realistic scenario.
NYU Wireless measurements at 140 GHz with a single human blocker found average blockage loss of 20 dB with a 350 ms average duration. IEEE 802.11ay at 60 GHz uses beam tracking and multi-beam redundancy to mitigate blockage. Future 6G sub-THz systems will likely require even more aggressive multi-connectivity and RIS-assisted bypass paths to maintain the ultra-reliable links demanded by 6G URLLC use cases.
Self-Blockage: At sub-THz, even the user’s own hand or head can block the device antenna. A smartphone held in portrait orientation can create 25+ dB of self-blockage for certain antenna positions. Device antenna design with multiple sub-arrays on different faces is essential.
THz Material Reflectivity
At sub-THz frequencies, material properties become critically important for predicting reflection paths. Measurements by various groups have characterized the reflectivity of common building materials at 100–300 GHz:
| Material | Reflection Coefficient @ 140 GHz | Reflection Loss | Key Observations |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glass (smooth) | 0.7–0.85 | 1.4–3.1 dB | Excellent reflector. Key NLOS path component. |
| Metal (aluminium) | 0.95–0.99 | <0.5 dB | Near-perfect reflector at all angles. |
| Concrete (smooth) | 0.5–0.7 | 3.1–6.0 dB | Moderate reflector. Surface roughness degrades reflection at THz. |
| Brick (rough) | 0.2–0.4 | 8–14 dB | Mostly scatters rather than reflects at THz. Poor NLOS component. |
| Drywall/plasterboard | 0.3–0.5 | 6–10 dB | Partially transparent at sub-THz. Can support through-wall paths. |
| Wood (painted) | 0.15–0.3 | 10–16 dB | Mostly absorbs. Poor reflector at THz. |
The reflection data reveals that at sub-THz, viable NLOS paths will primarily use glass and metal reflections. Building facades with large glass windows and metal panels will provide good NLOS coverage, while buildings with rough concrete or brick surfaces will not. This has implications for urban deployment: modern glass-and-steel buildings are favorable for sub-THz NLOS coverage, while older masonry buildings are challenging.
THz Scattering: The Surface Roughness Criterion
The Rayleigh roughness criterion determines whether a surface appears “smooth” or “rough” to a radio wave:
Where Δh = RMS surface height variation, θi = angle of incidence
At 3.5 GHz (λ = 86 mm): Δh < 10.7 mm (most surfaces appear smooth)
At 28 GHz (λ = 10.7 mm): Δh < 1.3 mm (painted surfaces appear rough)
At 140 GHz (λ = 2.1 mm): Δh < 0.26 mm (only polished surfaces are smooth)
At 300 GHz (λ = 1.0 mm): Δh < 0.125 mm (virtually no natural surface is smooth)
At 300 GHz, the smoothness criterion is 0.125 mm — meaning that even surfaces that appear smooth to the naked eye (concrete, plaster, painted wood) are “rough” at this frequency. Only polished glass and metal meet the criterion. This is why sub-THz propagation becomes increasingly sparse in multipath as frequency increases: most surfaces scatter rather than reflect, and the scattered energy is diffused over wide angles rather than concentrated in a useful direction.
THz Device Technology Limitations
Propagation models are only useful if the predicted path loss can be overcome by the link budget. The current state of sub-THz device technology imposes fundamental constraints:
- Power amplifier (PA) output: CMOS PAs at 140 GHz currently achieve 10–15 dBm per element. InP (indium phosphide) HBTs can reach 18–20 dBm but are far more expensive. Compare to 28 GHz CMOS PAs that routinely deliver 20–22 dBm per element. The 5–10 dB PA gap directly reduces the sub-THz link budget.
- Noise figure: Low-noise amplifiers (LNAs) at 140 GHz have noise figures of 6–10 dB, compared to 3–5 dB at 28 GHz. This 3–5 dB difference further degrades the link budget on the receiver side.
- Phase shifter losses: Analog phase shifters at sub-THz have 2–4 dB insertion loss per element, reducing the effective array gain. Digital beamforming avoids this but requires a DAC and mixer per element, dramatically increasing power consumption and cost.
- Antenna array size: The tiny wavelength at 140 GHz (λ/2 = 1.07 mm element spacing) enables large arrays in small form factors. A 256-element array occupies only ~17 mm × 17 mm. This is an advantage that partially compensates the PA power deficit.
These technology constraints mean that the practical link budget at 140 GHz is approximately 15–20 dB less than at 28 GHz, despite the potentially larger antenna arrays. The propagation models in this chapter must be interpreted in the context of these technology limitations to produce realistic coverage predictions.
Implications for 6G System Design
The unique propagation characteristics at sub-THz frequencies will fundamentally shape 6G system architecture in ways that go beyond incremental improvements over 5G NR:
- Ultra-dense deployment: With practical cell radii of 20–100 m, sub-THz networks will require access point densities of 100–2500 per km². For comparison, dense urban 5G NR small cells at 28 GHz use 50–200 per km². This implies ceiling-mounted or furniture-integrated APs in indoor scenarios, and lamp-post-mounted APs every 20–50 m outdoors.
- Integrated backhaul: With so many APs, traditional fibre backhaul to each one is prohibitively expensive. Sub-THz links can serve double duty: high-bandwidth wireless backhaul between APs (using narrow pencil beams between dedicated backhaul antennas) and user access on the same platform. This is the Integrated Access and Backhaul (IAB) concept, already introduced in 5G NR Rel-16 and expected to be central to 6G.
- Multi-band carrier aggregation: No single sub-THz band can provide reliable coverage. 6G devices will aggregate carriers across sub-6 GHz (for coverage and control plane), mmWave (for capacity), and sub-THz (for peak data rates). The propagation model for the composite system must handle all three regimes simultaneously.
- Predictive beam management: At sub-THz, beam alignment must be more precise (<1° beamwidth for large arrays) and faster (blockage events can occur in <100 ms). AI-driven beam prediction using camera, radar, or lidar sensing is expected to replace the reactive beam recovery mechanisms used in 5G NR.
- Sensing as a bonus: The narrow beams and wide bandwidths at sub-THz naturally enable high-resolution radar sensing (centimetre-level range resolution, sub-degree angular resolution). ISAC (Integrated Sensing and Communication) is a defining 6G feature that leverages these propagation characteristics for joint radar and communication.
Sub-THz Deployment Scenarios
Each of these scenarios demands a different channel model parameterization. The indoor hotspot model will leverage InH-like formulations with sub-THz-specific modifications (reduced multipath, specular-dominated reflections). The outdoor urban scenario will extend UMi-SC with absorption terms. The backhaul scenario can use a simple LOS model with atmospheric absorption from ITU-R P.676, as the high-gain antennas ensure negligible multipath.
RIS-Assisted Propagation
Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces (RIS) represent a paradigm shift in radio propagation. Instead of treating the wireless channel as a “given” that the system must cope with, RIS makes the channel itself a programmable component. A RIS is a planar surface composed of hundreds or thousands of sub-wavelength elements, each of which can independently adjust the phase (and sometimes amplitude) of the reflected signal. By coordinating these elements, the RIS can steer, focus, or shape reflected beams to create coverage where none existed before.
RIS Channel Model
The propagation path through a RIS consists of two cascaded links: BS-to-RIS and RIS-to-UE:
GRIS = 10 · log10(N² · dx · dy · 4π / λ²) (dBi, ideal beamforming gain)
Where:
N = number of RIS elements
dx, dy = element dimensions (typically λ/2 × λ/2)
GRIS scales as N² (coherent combining gain)
With N=1024 elements at 28 GHz (λ=10.7mm), GRIS ≈ 40 dBi
The N² scaling is the key insight: the RIS gain grows quadratically with the number of elements because each element adds coherently to the received signal. A RIS with 1024 elements provides 20·log10(1024) = 60 dB of array gain — enough to overcome substantial path losses. However, the total path loss still grows as the product of the two individual path losses (in linear scale), so RIS is most effective when one of the two links is relatively short.
3GPP Rel-19 Study Item
3GPP has launched a study item in Release 19 (RP-234038) on “Study on Channel Model for Controllable and Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces (RIS)”. The study evaluates deployment scenarios (indoor hotspot, urban micro, urban macro with RIS mounted on building facades), channel model enhancements for cascaded paths, and the impact of RIS element configurations on channel characteristics.
RIS Types and Their Propagation Impact
Not all RIS panels are created equal. The type of RIS determines its propagation characteristics:
| RIS Type | Configuration | Propagation Impact | Maturity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reflective RIS | Phase-only control, 1–3 bit resolution. Signal reflects off the surface. | Creates a virtual LOS path via controlled reflection. N² gain. Best when placed near BS or UE. | Prototype demos available from NTT DOCOMO, NEC, ZTE. TRL 5–6. |
| Transmissive RIS | Signal passes through the surface with controlled phase shift. | Enables O2I enhancement by mounting on windows. Can compensate for building penetration loss. | Early research. TRL 3–4. |
| Simultaneously Transmitting and Reflecting (STAR-RIS) | Each element can simultaneously transmit and reflect with independent control. | Serves users on both sides of the surface. Creates two virtual beams from one panel. | Theoretical. TRL 2–3. |
| Active RIS | Includes amplification (via transistors or tunnel diodes) in each element. | Overcomes the product distance loss limitation. Can amplify as well as redirect. | Research prototype. TRL 3–4. |
The active RIS is particularly interesting from a propagation perspective because it addresses the fundamental limitation of passive RIS: the product distance loss. With passive RIS, the total path loss grows as PLBS-RIS + PLRIS-UE (in dB), but the RIS gain only grows as 20·log10(N). For large BS-RIS and RIS-UE distances, the product loss overwhelms the array gain, making passive RIS ineffective. Active RIS adds amplification that partially compensates this loss, extending the effective range.
Channel Estimation for RIS
One of the greatest practical challenges with RIS-assisted propagation is channel estimation. In a conventional MIMO system, the UE estimates the direct BS-UE channel by processing reference signals. With RIS, the system must estimate the cascaded BS-RIS-UE channel, which has N times more parameters (one per RIS element). Several approaches are being studied:
- ON/OFF protocol: The RIS cycles through configurations where individual elements or element groups are turned on/off. The UE measures RSRP for each configuration, enabling element-level estimation. Overhead scales as O(N), which can be prohibitive for large RIS.
- Codebook-based beamforming: Pre-defined RIS beam patterns (codebook entries) are tested sequentially, and the best beam is selected. Similar to 5G NR beam sweeping (P1/P2/P3 procedures). Overhead scales as O(log(N)) but is sub-optimal.
- Compressed sensing: Exploits the sparsity of the mmWave channel to estimate N-dimensional channels from fewer measurements. Requires specialized algorithms (OMP, AMP) and careful design of measurement matrices.
- Sensor-aided estimation: Embed sensors (GPS, camera, radar) in the RIS panel to estimate the physical positions of BS and UE, then compute the optimal RIS configuration geometrically. Avoids RF channel estimation entirely but requires additional hardware.
The Paradigm Shift: Traditional propagation modeling asks “How bad is the channel?” RIS-assisted propagation asks “How do we want the channel to be?” This transforms propagation from a constraint to a design variable — potentially the most significant change in wireless channel engineering since the invention of MIMO.
RIS Deployment Scenarios
RIS can be deployed in several configurations, each requiring different channel model considerations:
Practical Limitations
While RIS is promising, current models reveal important practical constraints:
- Product distance loss: The total path loss through a RIS grows as the product of the two link distances (in linear scale), not the sum. This means RIS is most effective when placed close to either the BS or the UE, not midway.
- Phase quantization: Real RIS elements have discrete phase states (typically 1–3 bits). A 1-bit RIS (2 states) loses about 3.9 dB of gain compared to ideal continuous phase.
- Channel estimation overhead: The BS needs to estimate the BS-RIS-UE channel for each RIS configuration, which scales with the number of elements. This overhead can consume significant time-frequency resources.
- Near-field effects: Large RIS arrays at mmWave create near-field regions where the planar wavefront assumption breaks down. Near-field beamfocusing (as opposed to beamsteering) requires different channel models.
NTN & HAPS Propagation
Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) introduce fundamentally different propagation conditions. Instead of the 10–25 metre base station heights assumed in terrestrial models, NTN platforms operate at altitudes ranging from 20 km (HAPS) to 600–36,000 km (LEO to GEO satellites). The propagation path traverses the entire atmosphere, introducing losses that terrestrial models never needed to consider.
NTN Channel Model Components
PLFSPL = 32.4 + 20·log10(fMHz) + 20·log10(dkm)
PLatm-gas: O2 and H2O absorption (ITU-R P.676)
PLscintillation: Ionospheric and tropospheric scintillation (ITU-R P.531/P.618)
PLrain: Rain attenuation (ITU-R P.838/P.618)
PLclutter: Ground-level building/vegetation loss
Key NTN Parameters
| Parameter | LEO (600 km) | HAPS (20 km) | GEO (35,786 km) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSPL at 2 GHz | 167.4 dB | 137.9 dB | 190.9 dB |
| Round-trip delay | 4–12 ms | 0.13 ms | ~480 ms |
| Doppler shift (max) | ±48 kHz @ 2 GHz | Negligible | Negligible |
| Atmospheric loss | 0.5–2 dB | 0.3–1 dB | 0.5–2 dB |
| Rain attenuation | Up to 10 dB @ 20 GHz | Up to 5 dB | Up to 10 dB @ 20 GHz |
| Beam footprint | 50–1000 km | 5–200 km | 200–3500 km |
| Elevation angle | 10°–90° | 15°–90° | 5°–90° |
A critical difference from terrestrial propagation is the elevation angle dependence. At low elevation angles (10–20°), the signal path traverses a much longer atmospheric column, increasing gas absorption, rain attenuation, and scintillation. NTN link budgets must be calculated for the worst-case elevation angle, not the overhead case.
“Where terrestrial propagation loss is dominated by distance and obstacles, NTN loss is dominated by free-space spreading across hundreds of kilometres and the cumulative atmospheric effects of the entire troposphere.”
3GPP TR 38.811 — Channel model perspectiveElevation Angle Effects
The elevation angle — the angle between the horizontal plane and the satellite direction — is the most critical parameter in NTN propagation. At low elevation angles (10–30°), the signal path passes through a much longer atmospheric column, increasing all atmospheric losses:
| Elevation Angle | Atmospheric Gas Loss (2 GHz) | Rain Attenuation (20 GHz, moderate) | Scintillation Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90° (overhead) | 0.04 dB | 0.5 dB | 0.2 dB |
| 45° | 0.06 dB | 0.7 dB | 0.4 dB |
| 20° | 0.12 dB | 1.5 dB | 1.2 dB |
| 10° | 0.25 dB | 3.0 dB | 3.0 dB |
| 5° | 0.50 dB | 6.0 dB | 6.0+ dB |
At 5° elevation, the combined atmospheric, rain, and scintillation losses can reach 12+ dB — a massive penalty that directly translates to reduced data rates or dropped connections. For LEO constellations with rapidly moving satellites, elevation angles change continuously during a pass, creating a time-varying link budget that the system must track in real time.
Doppler Shift in LEO Systems
LEO satellites at 600 km altitude orbit at approximately 7.6 km/s, producing significant Doppler shifts. At 2 GHz, the maximum Doppler shift is ±48 kHz (when the satellite is at low elevation angles moving toward or away from the UE). This Doppler shift is orders of magnitude larger than what 5G NR was designed for in terrestrial scenarios (where maximum Doppler at 500 km/h vehicle speed is ~3.2 kHz at 3.5 GHz).
3GPP NR Rel-17 NTN introduces UE-side Doppler pre-compensation: the UE calculates the expected Doppler from satellite ephemeris data (broadcast in SIB) and pre-compensates its uplink frequency. This leaves only a residual Doppler error (from ephemeris imprecision and UE position uncertainty), which is small enough for the gNB receiver to handle with conventional frequency tracking loops.
HAPS Advantages
High Altitude Platform Systems (HAPS) at 20 km altitude combine advantages of both terrestrial and satellite systems. The FSPL at 20 km is 137.9 dB at 2 GHz — 22 dB less than LEO — and the round-trip delay is only 0.13 ms (negligible compared to LEO’s 4–12 ms). HAPS can use terrestrial 5G NR waveforms without the NTN timing modifications needed for LEO, and the quasi-stationary platform eliminates Doppler concerns. The main propagation challenges for HAPS are beam footprint management (each beam covers a large area) and rain attenuation at higher frequencies.
Rain Attenuation: The NTN Achilles Heel
Rain attenuation is often the dominant impairment for NTN links above 10 GHz. Raindrops scatter and absorb radio waves, with the effect increasing dramatically with frequency. The ITU-R P.838 recommendation provides the specific rain attenuation coefficient:
Where R = rain rate (mm/hr), k and α are frequency-dependent coefficients.
Examples at R = 25 mm/hr (heavy rain):
10 GHz: γR ≈ 2.5 dB/km
20 GHz: γR ≈ 7.5 dB/km
40 GHz: γR ≈ 14.0 dB/km
80 GHz: γR ≈ 18.0 dB/km
The effective path length through rain depends on the rain cell height and elevation angle.
For a LEO satellite at 30° elevation operating at 20 GHz, the effective rain path length through a 4 km rain cell height is approximately 4/sin(30°) = 8 km. At a rain rate of 25 mm/hr, this produces 8 × 7.5 = 60 dB/km × 0.008 km... Actually, the path through the rain cell is limited, so the total rain attenuation is approximately 7.5 × 8 × 0.3 (reduction factor for path averaging) = ~18 dB. This significant loss requires substantial link margin or adaptive coding and modulation (ACM) to maintain service during rain events.
Think of terrestrial propagation as driving through a city — you encounter buildings, traffic, and turns that slow you down. NTN propagation is like flying over the city — you avoid all the ground-level obstacles, but you must fly through clouds and weather, and the journey is much longer. Each has fundamentally different challenges that demand different solutions.
3GPP NTN Evolution
3GPP has progressively enhanced NTN support across releases:
- Rel-17 (2022): First NTN specification. NR-NTN for transparent LEO/GEO satellites in FR1. NB-IoT/eMTC-NTN for direct-to-satellite IoT. Channel model from TR 38.811.
- Rel-18 (2024): Enhanced NTN: coverage enhancements, MIMO for NTN, regenerative payload support, mobility improvements, NR-NTN in FR2 (Ka-band at 20/30 GHz).
- Rel-19 (2025–2026): NTN-terrestrial network integration, multi-orbit coordination (LEO + GEO), enhanced channel model with dynamic atmospheric conditions, HAPS-specific features.
- Rel-20/21 (6G): Expected to integrate NTN as a native component of 6G architecture, not an overlay. Unified channel model across terrestrial, aerial, and space segments.
AI/ML-Driven Channel Prediction
The future of propagation modeling may not be equations at all. Machine learning approaches are demonstrating the ability to predict path loss with higher accuracy than traditional models by learning from massive datasets of measurements, ray-tracing simulations, and environmental data. This represents a fundamental shift from “physics first, data second” to “data first, physics as constraint.”
Data-Driven Ray-Tracing Hybrid Models
Modern ray-tracing tools (Altair WinProp, Remcom Wireless InSite, Siradel Volcano) can simulate billions of ray paths through 3D city models. When combined with ML, these simulations become training data for neural networks that learn the relationship between environmental features (building heights, street widths, vegetation density, terrain) and path loss. The result is a model that approaches ray-tracing accuracy at empirical model computational cost.
Neural Network Path Loss Prediction
Research from universities including Aalborg, NYU, and ETH Zurich has demonstrated convolutional neural networks (CNNs) that take satellite imagery or 3D building data as input and predict path loss maps with mean absolute errors of 3–5 dB — comparable to or better than calibrated TR 38.901 models. The key advantages:
- Site-specific accuracy: The model learns the actual propagation environment, not a statistical average.
- Real-time inference: Once trained, prediction takes milliseconds per point.
- Automatic calibration: The model self-calibrates from measurement data without manual tuning.
- Multi-frequency: A single model can predict across frequencies if trained on multi-band data.
Digital Twin + Channel Model Fusion
The most advanced approach combines: (1) a digital twin of the physical environment (3D city model with material properties), (2) deterministic ray-tracing for dominant paths, (3) ML for stochastic scattering and diffuse components, and (4) real-time measurement feedback to continuously update the model. This “living channel model” concept is being explored in 3GPP Release 19 study items on AI/ML for the air interface.
Generative AI for Probabilistic Channels
Generative adversarial networks (GANs) and variational autoencoders (VAEs) can generate statistically accurate channel impulse responses for any environment. Instead of prescribing a fixed PDP (power delay profile) with deterministic cluster positions, a generative model samples from the learned distribution, producing channel realizations that are more diverse and realistic than traditional stochastic models like the CDL or TDL.
3GPP AI/ML Study: 3GPP TR 38.843 (Rel-18) and ongoing Rel-19 work items study AI/ML for NR air interface. While primarily focused on beam management and CSI feedback, the framework will inevitably extend to AI-assisted propagation prediction for SON and network planning.
Comparison: Traditional vs. AI/ML Path Loss Prediction
| Criterion | Traditional (TR 38.901) | AI/ML-Driven |
|---|---|---|
| Input data | Distance, frequency, BS/UE height | 3D map, satellite imagery, material data, measurements |
| Accuracy (MAE) | 6–10 dB | 3–5 dB (site-specific) |
| Computation | Microseconds per point | Milliseconds per point (inference) |
| Training | None (closed-form) | Hours to days (GPU-intensive) |
| Generalization | Any city (stochastic) | Limited to trained environment class |
| Physics compliance | Guaranteed | Not guaranteed (can violate FSPL) |
| Calibration | Manual (drive test tuning) | Automatic from measurement data |
| Standardization | 3GPP / ITU-R endorsed | No standard yet (active research) |
Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs)
The most promising approach for next-generation channel models is the physics-informed neural network (PINN), which embeds known propagation physics as constraints within the neural network architecture. For example, the network can be constrained to never predict path loss below FSPL, to increase loss monotonically with distance (on average), and to follow the correct frequency scaling law. This hybrid approach achieves the accuracy of pure ML with the physical consistency of traditional models.
Key research groups working on PINNs for propagation include ETH Zurich (path loss prediction from building footprints), Aalborg University (radio environment map generation), and the COST INTERACT project (European collaborative channel modeling). Their results consistently show 2–3 dB improvement in prediction accuracy over calibrated TR 38.901 models, with the added benefit of automatic adaptation to new deployment areas through transfer learning.
The Role of Digital Twins
A radio environment digital twin is a continuously updated virtual replica of the physical propagation environment. It combines:
- 3D environment model: Building geometry, terrain elevation, vegetation (from LiDAR, photogrammetry, or OpenStreetMap)
- Material properties: Building exterior types, glass types (standard vs. IRR), wall thickness (from construction databases)
- Dynamic elements: Foliage state (seasonal), construction sites, temporary structures, moving vehicles
- Live measurements: CQI reports, RSRP/RSRQ from UEs, MDT (Minimization of Drive Tests) data
- Propagation engine: Deterministic ray-tracing core with ML augmentation for diffuse scattering
Ericsson, Nokia, and Huawei all have commercial or pre-commercial digital twin products. Ericsson’s “City Digital Twin” integrates with their network planning tool and claims 3–4 dB better coverage prediction accuracy compared to standard models. This technology will become essential for 6G network planning, where the extreme frequency sensitivity of sub-THz propagation demands site-specific accuracy.
Practical Implementation: From Model to Coverage Map
Understanding how propagation models are implemented in commercial planning tools provides valuable context for interpreting their outputs. Here is the typical workflow in tools like Atoll, Planet, ASSET, and Ranplan:
- Import geographic data: Load the digital terrain model (DTM), clutter/land-use classification, building database (3D where available), and vector road data for the planning area.
- Define cell parameters: For each cell, specify the antenna position (lat/lon/height), azimuth, mechanical/electrical downtilt, antenna pattern (from manufacturer data files), transmit power, and frequency band.
- Select propagation model: Choose the appropriate model (TR 38.901 UMa/UMi, or calibrated empirical model). Set scenario parameters (building height, street width for RMa).
- Configure resolution: Set the prediction pixel size (typically 5–50 m for outdoor, 1–5 m for indoor). Smaller pixels give more accuracy but require exponentially more computation.
- Run prediction: For each pixel, the tool computes:
- 3D distance from antenna to pixel centre
- Terrain profile along the path (for diffraction calculation)
- Clutter type at the pixel (urban, suburban, open, water, forest)
- LOS/NLOS determination (from 3D building data or stochastic model)
- Path loss using the selected model
- Received signal level = EIRP + antenna pattern gain at pixel angle - path loss
- Generate coverage map: Colour-code each pixel based on the predicted signal level (RSRP), signal quality (SINR), or throughput. Apply thresholds to determine coverage/non-coverage.
- Calibrate: Compare predicted values against drive test measurements. Adjust model parameters (offset, PLE correction, clutter-specific adjustments) until the prediction error (mean and standard deviation) meets acceptance criteria (typically mean < 2 dB, σ < 6 dB).
Model Calibration Best Practices
Model calibration (also called “tuning”) is the process of adjusting a propagation model’s parameters to match real-world measurements in a specific deployment area. It is essential for accurate coverage prediction and should follow these best practices:
- Use CW (continuous wave) measurements for calibration, not live network RSRP. CW measurements use a known transmitter with controlled antenna pattern, frequency, and power, eliminating uncertainty from the BS configuration.
- Measure in representative areas: Include a mix of LOS and NLOS locations, different clutter types (dense urban, suburban, open), and different terrain (flat, hilly) that represent the deployment area.
- Collect at least 1000 measurement samples per cell to ensure statistical significance. More is better.
- Separate LOS and NLOS measurements in the analysis. The model may need different calibration adjustments for LOS and NLOS conditions.
- Calibrate per clutter type: Urban, suburban, and open areas often need different clutter correction factors (typically ±3–8 dB).
- Verify with held-out data: Use 70% of measurements for calibration and 30% for validation. If the validation error is significantly worse than the calibration error, the model is overfitting.
- Document calibration results: Record the mean error, standard deviation, and correction factors applied. These are essential for future network expansions and audits.
- Re-calibrate annually: Urban environments change (new buildings, demolitions, tree growth) and can invalidate previous calibration. Plan for annual measurement campaigns in rapidly developing areas.
A propagation model is like a suit pattern — it gives you the right general shape, but it needs to be tailored to fit each specific customer. Calibration is that tailoring process. An uncalibrated model is like wearing an off-the-rack suit to a wedding: it might be adequate, but it will never be perfect. The difference between a $1M network design decision based on an uncalibrated model and a calibrated one can be tens of millions of dollars in misallocated CAPEX.
Commercial Planning Tool Comparison
The major commercial RF planning tools and their propagation model support:
| Tool | Vendor | TR 38.901 Support | Ray Tracing | AI/ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atoll | Forsk | Yes (all scenarios) | Optional module | Limited |
| Planet | INFOVISTA | Yes | Yes (WinProp integration) | Under development |
| ASSET | TEOCO | Yes | Optional | Yes (AutoPlan AI) |
| Ranplan | Ranplan | Yes (indoor focus) | Yes (3D ray tracing) | Limited |
| WinProp | Altair (Feko) | Yes | Yes (full 3D) | Under development |
| Wireless InSite | Remcom | Research focus | Yes (advanced 3D) | Research |
“The best propagation model is the one that has seen your exact environment before. In the age of AI and digital twins, every network element becomes a sensor feeding a continuously improving model of the radio world.”
The convergence of measurement and predictionOpen Challenges in AI/ML Propagation
Despite the promise, several significant challenges must be overcome before AI/ML channel prediction can replace traditional models in production network planning:
- Training data availability: ML models require large, high-quality measurement datasets. While operators have extensive drive test data, this data is proprietary and often limited to specific bands, scenarios, and equipment configurations. Creating a universal training dataset comparable to the multi-institution campaign that validated TR 38.901 would require unprecedented industry collaboration.
- Generalization across environments: A model trained on Manhattan may not generalize to Mumbai or Munich. Transfer learning techniques can partially bridge this gap, but the degree of fine-tuning required for each new city is still an open research question.
- Interpretability: Neural networks are “black boxes” — they produce accurate predictions but cannot explain why. When a coverage prediction is wrong, traditional models allow engineers to diagnose the cause (wrong building height assumption, missing diffraction path, etc.). With ML models, debugging requires re-examination of the training data and architecture, which is much harder.
- Worst-case guarantees: Traditional models with shadow fading margins provide statistical guarantees (e.g., “95% of locations will have coverage within ±2σ of the predicted path loss”). ML models do not inherently provide such guarantees unless specifically designed with calibrated uncertainty quantification (e.g., Bayesian neural networks, Monte Carlo dropout).
- Computational efficiency: While inference is fast, training requires GPUs and can take hours to days. In a network with thousands of cells and continuous changes (new buildings, seasonal foliage), keeping the model up-to-date is a significant operational burden.
- Regulatory acceptance: Spectrum regulators and standards bodies may be reluctant to endorse AI/ML models for interference calculations and spectrum coordination, where reproducibility and determinism are essential.
The most likely path forward is not replacement but augmentation. AI/ML will be used to calibrate and refine traditional models for specific environments, not to replace them entirely. The traditional model provides the physics-compliant baseline; the AI layer provides site-specific correction. This hybrid approach offers the best of both worlds: physical consistency from equations and site-specific accuracy from data.
The Complete Comparison
After seventeen chapters of individual model analysis, it is time to bring everything together into a single comprehensive view. This chapter provides the definitive comparison of every propagation model discussed, along with practical guidance for selecting the right model for your deployment scenario.
Master Comparison Table
| Model | Freq Range | PLE (LOS/NLOS) | σSF (LOS/NLOS) | Max Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okumura-Hata | 150–1500 MHz | — / 3.5–4.5 | — / 8–10 dB | 20 km |
| COST 231 Hata | 1500–2000 MHz | — / 3.5–4.5 | — / 8–10 dB | 20 km |
| COST 231 W-I | 800–2000 MHz | 2.6 / 3.8+ | — | 5 km |
| SUI | 2–11.5 GHz | — / 3.6–6.4 | — / 8–10 dB | 8 km |
| UMa (TR 38.901) | 0.5–100 GHz | 2.2 / 3.91 | 4 / 6 dB | 5 km |
| UMi-SC (TR 38.901) | 0.5–100 GHz | 2.1 / 3.53 | 4 / 7.82 dB | 5 km |
| RMa (TR 38.901) | 0.5–30 GHz | ~2 / ~3.5 | 4 / 8 dB | 21 km |
| InH-Office (TR 38.901) | 0.5–100 GHz | 1.73 / 3.83 | 3 / 8.03 dB | 150 m |
| InF (TR 38.901) | 0.5–100 GHz | 2.15 / 3.2–3.3 | 4 / 7.2–7.6 dB | 600 m |
| CI Model | 0.5–150 GHz | 2.0 / 3.2–3.6 | 2–4 / 6–10 dB | Varies |
| Sub-THz (modified CI) | 100–300 GHz | 2.0–2.1 / 3.4–3.6 | 1.5–4 / 6–10 dB | ~200 m |
| NTN (TR 38.811) | 0.5–40 GHz | 2.0 (FSPL) | Varies | 36,000+ km |
Decision Tree: Which Model to Use?
Path Loss Exponent Summary
The Path Loss Exponent (PLE) is the single most important parameter in any propagation model. It determines how quickly signal power decays with distance. A PLE of 2.0 means free-space spreading; higher values indicate faster decay due to obstacles. This summary covers every scenario:
| Scenario | PLE (LOS) | PLE (NLOS) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free Space | 2.0 | — | Theoretical minimum, isotropic spreading |
| InH-Office LOS | 1.73 | — | Below free space! Corridor waveguide |
| UMi-SC LOS | 2.1 | — | Near free space, street canyon guides signal |
| UMa LOS | 2.2 | — | Slightly above free space, some ground reflection |
| InF LOS | 2.15 | — | Factory environment, metallic reflections help |
| RMa LOS | ~2.0 | — | Open terrain, near free space |
| InF-SH NLOS | — | 2.3 | High BS sees over sparse clutter |
| InF-DH NLOS | — | 2.19 | High BS, dense clutter but still good coverage |
| UMi-SC NLOS | — | 3.53 | Moderate urban obstruction |
| InF-SL NLOS | — | 3.3 | Low BS in sparse factory |
| InF-DL NLOS | — | 3.57 | Worst case: low BS in dense factory |
| InH-Office NLOS | — | 3.83 | Through-wall office propagation |
| UMa NLOS | — | 3.91 | Urban macro, many building rows |
| SUI Cat-A NLOS | — | 4.6–6.4 | Worst case: hilly, heavy foliage |
Band-to-Model Mapping for Airtel India
| Airtel Band | Frequency | Recommended Model | Typical ISD |
|---|---|---|---|
| n28 | 703–748 MHz | UMa (coverage layer), RMa (rural) | 3–8 km |
| n1 | 1920–1980 MHz | UMa (capacity + coverage) | 1–3 km |
| n78 | 3300–3600 MHz | UMa (urban macro), UMi (small cell) | 0.5–1.5 km |
| n257 | 26.5–29.5 GHz | UMi-SC (street canyon), InH | 100–250 m |
| n258 | 24.25–27.5 GHz | UMi-SC, InH | 100–250 m |
Practical Tips for Network Planners
Based on the complete analysis across all 17 chapters, here are actionable recommendations for RF engineers selecting and applying propagation models:
- Always use 3GPP TR 38.901 for 5G NR planning. It is the industry standard, vendor-tool compatible, and 3GPP simulation-compliant. Classic models should only be used for legacy 2G/3G systems or quick feasibility estimates.
- Select the correct scenario based on BS height, not just environment. A 10 m BS on a lamp post in a city centre is UMi, not UMa, even if the surrounding buildings are tall. A 25 m rooftop BS in the same area is UMa.
- Apply the max(LOS, NLOS) rule. TR 38.901 specifies that the NLOS path loss should be the maximum of the LOS formula and the NLOS formula. This prevents the NLOS formula from predicting less loss than LOS at short distances.
- Account for O2I loss explicitly. Do not assume outdoor macro coverage extends indoors at mmWave. Use the low-loss/high-loss building classification. Modern buildings (post-2000) are almost always high-loss.
- Use LOS probability in Monte Carlo simulations. For system-level capacity analysis, randomly assign LOS/NLOS status to each user based on the distance-dependent probability function, then apply the corresponding path loss formula.
- Calibrate with drive test data. No model is perfectly accurate for your specific city. After initial deployment, calibrate the model against CW (continuous wave) or UE measurement data. Typical calibration adjusts the NLOS offset by ±3–5 dB.
- Add body loss for handheld UE. TR 38.901 does not include body loss. Add 3–5 dB for sub-6 GHz (hand + head) and 10–15 dB for mmWave (self-blockage) to the link budget.
- Consider foliage loss separately. In suburban or leafy urban areas, add 0.3–1.5 dB/m of foliage depth at sub-6 GHz, and 3–5 dB/m at mmWave. Seasonal variation can be 10+ dB between summer (full foliage) and winter (bare branches).
The Golden Rule: A 6 dB error in propagation prediction doubles (or halves) the predicted coverage area of a cell. At 3.5 GHz with an NLOS PLE of ~3.9, a 6 dB error translates to a 40% error in cell radius. This is why propagation model selection and calibration are not academic exercises — they directly determine network CAPEX.
Common Model Calibration Mistakes
In 15+ years of network planning practice, certain propagation model errors appear repeatedly. Avoiding these common mistakes can save months of optimization:
- Using the wrong scenario: A 10 m lamp-post BS in an urban area must use UMi, not UMa, even if the inter-site distance is large. Using UMa with a 10 m BS height will under-predict path loss by 5–10 dB because the UMa LOS probability assumes the BS is above rooftop level.
- Ignoring body loss: TR 38.901 does not include body loss (the absorption and blockage from the user’s hand and head). For sub-6 GHz: add 3–4 dB for data (hand only) and 4–7 dB for voice (hand + head). For mmWave: add 10–20 dB for self-blockage scenarios.
- Applying NLOS everywhere: Some planning tools apply only the NLOS formula, ignoring LOS probability. This is conservative for coverage prediction but leads to over-dimensioning (too many sites). Use the combined LOS+NLOS model for accurate site count estimation.
- Neglecting O2I loss for indoor coverage targets: If the service requirement includes indoor coverage (which most commercial networks require), the link budget must include O2I building penetration loss. Using outdoor-only path loss and claiming “indoor coverage” is a common specification error.
- Static clutter maps: Using outdated building databases leads to systematic prediction errors in rapidly developing areas. In Indian metro cities, new construction can invalidate propagation predictions within 6–12 months.
- mmWave range optimism: Extrapolating sub-6 GHz experience to mmWave. At 28 GHz, the practical cell radius is 100–200 m outdoors and 30–50 m indoors — dramatically smaller than the 500–1500 m sub-6 GHz range.
- Ignoring elevation model: For hilly terrain or cities with significant elevation changes, using flat-earth path loss models can cause errors of 10+ dB. Always use a digital terrain model (DTM) for sites with more than 20 m elevation difference across the cell coverage area.
Model Selection Flowchart Summary
For quick reference, here is the complete decision process for selecting a propagation model:
Impact of Model Choice on Network Cost
To quantify the financial impact of propagation model selection, consider a 5G NR deployment at 3.5 GHz covering a 100 km² urban area:
| Model Assumption | Predicted ISD | Sites for 100 km² | Approx. CAPEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic (LOS-heavy, no O2I) | 800 m | ~180 sites | ~$18M |
| Realistic (UMa-NLOS + O2I) | 500 m | ~460 sites | ~$46M |
| Conservative (NLOS only + margins) | 350 m | ~940 sites | ~$94M |
The difference between optimistic and conservative models is a factor of 5 in site count and CAPEX. The “correct” answer (realistic UMa-NLOS with proper O2I) falls in the middle. This example demonstrates that propagation model accuracy is not an academic concern — it is a multi-million-dollar business decision for every operator.
Future Outlook
Propagation modeling stands at an inflection point. For fifty years, the field has progressed from Okumura’s hand-drawn graphs to sophisticated 3D stochastic models validated across six decades of frequency. The next era will be defined by three converging forces: measurement at new frequencies, AI-powered prediction, and programmable propagation environments.
3GPP Release 19/20 Propagation Work
- Rel-19: Study on channel model enhancements for RIS (RP-234038). Study on AI/ML for air interface (TR 38.843 continuation). Enhanced NTN channel model for LEO regenerative payloads.
- Rel-20 (6G): Expected to define new propagation scenarios for sub-THz (FR3: 7–24 GHz and upper mid-band). New scenario for RIS-assisted deployments. AI/ML-based channel model as a complement to stochastic models.
Sub-THz Standardization Timeline
- 2025–2026: ITU-R WRC-27 agenda item on above-100 GHz identification. 3GPP Rel-20 study items on 6G channel models.
- 2027–2028: 3GPP normative Rel-21 work on 6G NR. First standardized channel model for sub-THz (expected extension of TR 38.901 or new TR).
- 2029–2030: First commercial 6G systems. Channel models validated against real deployment data.
Convergence: Measurement + Simulation + AI
The propagation model of 2030 will likely be a hybrid: a physics-based core (ray-tracing or TR 38.901-style equations) augmented by ML layers trained on measurement data and continuously updated via network telemetry. The model will be environment-aware (using 3D maps and material databases), frequency-agile (predicting across bands from sub-1 GHz to 300 GHz), and self-improving (learning from every connected device’s measurement reports).
“The propagation model of the future will not be a static equation in a specification document. It will be a living, learning system that knows more about your radio environment than any engineer ever could — and updates itself every millisecond.”
The trajectory from empirical models to AI-native channelsKey Research Questions for the Next Decade
Several fundamental questions remain open and will drive propagation research through the 6G era:
- RIS channel reciprocity: Do cascaded RIS channels exhibit the same reciprocity as direct channels? Current evidence suggests partial reciprocity at best, which affects TDD-based systems that rely on uplink measurements for downlink beamforming.
- Sub-THz outdoor NLOS: Can reflected and scattered paths at 140+ GHz provide reliable NLOS coverage? Measurement campaigns show that building reflections remain viable at sub-THz frequencies, but the number of usable multipath components drops dramatically compared to sub-6 GHz.
- Integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) channel: How should the propagation model differ for sensing (radar) versus communication use cases on the same carrier? The same scattering that creates NLOS communication paths is the desired target return for sensing.
- Space-air-ground integrated channel: How do propagation characteristics change across the NTN-terrestrial boundary? A LEO satellite beam illuminating an urban area sees completely different channel statistics than a terrestrial macro cell, but users may hand over between them seamlessly.
- AI model standardization: Can an AI/ML propagation model be “standardized” in the traditional sense? If every operator trains on their own data, results will differ. 3GPP may need to define model architectures and training methodologies rather than fixed coefficients.
From 50 Years of Equations to Intelligent Channels
The history of propagation modeling traces a clear arc. In the 1960s and 1970s, engineers drove through cities with spectrum analyzers and plotted signal strength on paper. In the 1980s, they fitted empirical equations to those plots (Okumura-Hata). In the 2000s, they built sophisticated stochastic models from global measurement campaigns (3GPP TR 38.901). In the 2020s, they began training neural networks on ray-tracing data and live network measurements.
The 2030s will see the convergence: physics-informed AI models, continuously trained from digital twin environments and real-time UE measurements, predicting propagation across frequencies from 700 MHz to 300 GHz with site-specific accuracy. The propagation model will no longer be a static table in a technical report — it will be a living, breathing system embedded in every network node.
The Standardization Challenge
Standardizing propagation models for 6G faces unique challenges that did not exist in previous generations:
- Frequency-dependent complexity: A 6G system operating from 700 MHz to 300 GHz cannot use a single set of formulas. The propagation physics change qualitatively across this range (diffraction-dominated at sub-1 GHz, reflection-dominated at mmWave, absorption-dominated at sub-THz). Multiple model families or a unified parametric framework with frequency-dependent coefficients will be needed.
- Programmable environments: With RIS, the channel is no longer a “given” — it is a design variable. Channel models must capture both the “natural” channel and the “engineered” channel with RIS, creating a combinatorial explosion of possible configurations.
- Multi-domain propagation: A 6G user may be simultaneously connected to a terrestrial gNB, a LEO satellite, and a HAPS platform. The channel model must handle transitions between these fundamentally different propagation regimes.
- AI model reproducibility: If AI/ML models are part of the standard, how do you ensure that different vendors’ implementations produce the same results? Traditional models are deterministic (same inputs ⇒ same outputs). Neural network models depend on training data, random seeds, and architecture choices.
- Real-time adaptation: 6G targets self-optimizing networks that adapt link parameters based on real-time channel conditions. The propagation model must be fast enough for real-time inference (milliseconds per prediction) while remaining accurate.
The most likely outcome is a layered approach: a baseline stochastic model (extending TR 38.901 to 300 GHz with absorption terms) for system-level simulations and spectrum planning, complemented by AI-augmented site-specific models for detailed network design and real-time optimization. The two layers would be standardized separately, with the stochastic model in 3GPP specifications and the AI framework in implementation guidelines.
WRC-27 and the Spectrum Dimension
The World Radiocommunication Conference 2027 (WRC-27) will shape the spectrum landscape for 6G. Several agenda items directly impact propagation modeling requirements:
- Agenda Item 1.7: Consideration of frequency bands above 100 GHz for IMT. This will trigger formal propagation studies at these frequencies by ITU-R study groups, producing the first international consensus on sub-THz propagation models.
- Agenda Item 1.2: Upper mid-band spectrum (7–24 GHz) identification for IMT. This “FR3” range fills the gap between current FR1 (up to 7.125 GHz) and FR2 (24.25+ GHz). Existing TR 38.901 models cover this range but have limited measurement validation between 7 and 24 GHz.
- NTN spectrum: Additional allocations for direct-to-device satellite services, requiring extended propagation models for LEO/MEO orbits at new frequency bands.
The WRC-27 decisions will determine which frequency bands 6G systems can use, which in turn determines which propagation models need to be developed and validated. The timeline is tight: WRC-27 decisions must feed into 3GPP Rel-21 specifications within 1–2 years to meet the 2030 commercial launch target.
The Upper Mid-Band Gap
The 7–24 GHz range (often called “upper mid-band” or “FR3”) is emerging as the sweet spot for 6G: enough bandwidth for high data rates (potentially 1–5 GHz per operator) with propagation characteristics that are more forgiving than mmWave but more capacity-rich than sub-6 GHz. However, this range has a notable gap in propagation data:
- Well-characterized: Below 7 GHz (extensive 4G/5G measurements and TR 38.901 validation) and above 24 GHz (extensive mmWave campaigns).
- Poorly characterized: 7–15 GHz. Limited measurement campaigns exist in this “no man’s land” between traditional cellular bands and mmWave. Some ISM band data at 5.8 GHz and C-band satellite data at 12 GHz exists, but it is not comprehensive enough for 6G planning.
- Interpolation concerns: Simply interpolating TR 38.901 parameters from 6 GHz to 24 GHz may not capture important transitions in diffraction efficiency, scattering behaviour, and foliage attenuation that occur in this range.
Multiple measurement campaigns at 10 GHz, 15 GHz, and 20 GHz are now underway (Ericsson, Nokia, NYU, NIST) to fill this gap. Their results will feed into the 3GPP Rel-20/21 channel model updates and potentially extend TR 38.901 with refined parameters for the upper mid-band.
Timeline: Based on 3GPP Release planning, the first 6G channel model study item is expected in Rel-20 (starting H2 2026). Normative specifications would follow in Rel-21 (~2028–2029). First commercial 6G systems are targeted for 2030. This gives the standardization community approximately 2–3 years to develop, validate, and agree on 6G channel models — a tight timeline given the complexity of the task.
Yet the foundational physics will not change. The inverse square law, reflection, diffraction, scattering, and molecular absorption will remain the ground truth against which every model — whether empirical, stochastic, or neural — is validated. Understanding these physics is not optional for the 6G engineer. It is prerequisite.
Essential References
For engineers who wish to go deeper, these are the authoritative references for each generation of propagation models:
Quick Reference: Path Loss at a Glance
For fast engineering estimates, this table provides typical path loss values at key distances for the most common 5G NR scenarios. All values assume default BS and UE heights.
| Distance | UMa-LOS 3.5 GHz |
UMa-NLOS 3.5 GHz |
UMi-LOS 28 GHz |
UMi-NLOS 28 GHz |
Sub-THz 140 GHz LOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 m | 61.0 dB | 74.9 dB | 82.3 dB | 93.7 dB | 96.5 dB |
| 50 m | 76.3 dB | 103.2 dB | 97.7 dB | 118.3 dB | 111.2 dB |
| 100 m | 82.9 dB | 114.9 dB | 104.1 dB | 128.9 dB | 117.5 dB |
| 200 m | 89.6 dB | 126.6 dB | 110.4 dB | 139.5 dB | 124.0 dB |
| 500 m | 98.3 dB | 141.9 dB | 118.7 dB | 153.5 dB | 132.4 dB |
| 1000 m | 104.9 dB | 153.7 dB | 125.0 dB | 164.1 dB | 139.2 dB |
This table reveals a critical planning insight: UMa-NLOS at 3.5 GHz at 500 m (141.9 dB) already exceeds many typical link budgets (140–155 dB), meaning that NLOS coverage at sub-6 GHz macro cells is marginal at best beyond 500 m. At mmWave, NLOS coverage effectively ends at 100–200 m. At sub-THz, LOS coverage at 100 m is comparable to UMi-NLOS at 28 GHz at 50 m, confirming that sub-THz systems will function as ultra-short-range, ultra-high-throughput access points.
The Engineer’s Summary
If you remember nothing else from this 17-chapter guide, remember these ten principles:
- FSPL is the absolute minimum — real-world path loss is always worse. Any model predicting less than FSPL is physically wrong (except InH-LOS, where waveguide effects are real).
- The LOS/NLOS boundary dominates everything at mmWave. At 28 GHz, a user going from LOS to NLOS loses 20–30 dB instantly.
- Use TR 38.901 for 5G NR planning — it is the industry standard, tool-compatible, and 3GPP-compliant. Classic models are for legacy systems only.
- Match the scenario to the deployment — UMa for rooftop macro, UMi for street-level, RMa for rural, InH/InF for indoor. Wrong scenario = wrong answer.
- O2I loss kills indoor coverage at mmWave — 30–50 dB through modern buildings. Indoor small cells are not optional for mmWave indoor service.
- Above 100 GHz, molecular absorption matters — stay in the transmission windows (140, 220, 300 GHz). Avoid absorption peaks (183, 325, 380, 448 GHz).
- RIS changes the paradigm — but the cascaded path loss grows as the product of two link distances, limiting effectiveness to scenarios where one link is short.
- NTN propagation is FSPL + atmosphere — distance is the dominant factor (160+ dB for LEO). Rain attenuation and low elevation angles are the key impairments.
- AI/ML will augment, not replace, physics-based models — hybrid approaches combining equations with data-driven corrections offer the best of both worlds.
- A 6 dB prediction error doubles the required site count — propagation model accuracy directly determines network CAPEX.
“The radio engineer who understands propagation models holds the key to network economics. Every decibel of prediction accuracy translates to millions of dollars in infrastructure investment — either saved or wasted.”
The business case for propagation scienceComplete Formula Reference Card
For quick reference, here are all the key path loss formulas from this guide in one place. Print this section and keep it at your desk.
NLOS: PL = 17.3 + 38.3·log10(d3D) + 24.9·log10(fc), σSF = 8.03 dB
Glossary of Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| PLE | Path Loss Exponent — rate at which signal power decays with distance. Free space = 2.0. |
| FSPL | Free Space Path Loss — theoretical minimum loss in vacuum/unobstructed space. |
| LOS | Line of Sight — direct, unobstructed path between TX and RX. |
| NLOS | Non-Line of Sight — no direct path; signal reaches RX via reflection/diffraction. |
| d3D | 3D distance between BS and UE, including height difference. |
| d2D | 2D horizontal distance between BS and UE (ground projection). |
| dBP | Breakpoint distance — where PLE transitions from ~2 to ~4 due to ground reflection. |
| σSF | Shadow fading standard deviation (dB). Log-normal random variable around predicted PL. |
| PLOS | LOS probability — likelihood of unobstructed path at given distance. |
| O2I | Outdoor-to-Indoor — additional loss for signals penetrating building exteriors. |
| fc | Carrier frequency in GHz (for TR 38.901 formulas). |
| hBS | Base station antenna height above ground level (m). |
| hUT | User terminal antenna height above ground level (m). Default: 1.5 m outdoor. |
| RIS | Reconfigurable Intelligent Surface — programmable reflective panel for channel engineering. |
| NTN | Non-Terrestrial Network — satellite and HAPS-based communications. |
| Sub-THz | Sub-Terahertz frequencies: 100–300 GHz. Candidate 6G spectrum. |
| FR1 | Frequency Range 1 (410 MHz – 7.125 GHz). Sub-6 GHz 5G NR. |
| FR2 | Frequency Range 2 (24.25 – 52.6 GHz). mmWave 5G NR. |
| CDL/TDL | Cluster Delay Line / Tapped Delay Line — small-scale fading channel models. |
| XPR | Cross-Polarization Ratio — power ratio between co-polar and cross-polar components. |
| HAPS | High Altitude Platform System — quasi-stationary platform at ~20 km altitude. |
| ISAC | Integrated Sensing and Communication — joint radar and data on same waveform. |
| PINN | Physics-Informed Neural Network — ML model with physics constraints built in. |
| IRR Glass | Infrared Reflective glass — energy-efficient window coating that blocks RF signals. |
| DAS | Distributed Antenna System — indoor coverage solution using distributed antenna heads. |
| IAB | Integrated Access and Backhaul — using same spectrum for user access and inter-node backhaul. |
| FWA | Fixed Wireless Access — wireless broadband to fixed CPE, alternative to fibre. |
| HITRAN | High-Resolution Transmission Molecular Absorption database — spectroscopic reference for atmospheric absorption. |
| WRC | World Radiocommunication Conference — ITU-R conference that allocates global spectrum. |
Acknowledgments and Further Reading
This article draws on the collective work of thousands of engineers and researchers who have measured, modeled, and standardized radio propagation over six decades. Particular acknowledgment goes to the measurement teams at NYU Wireless, Ericsson Research, Nokia Bell Labs, Samsung Research, Qualcomm Research, Huawei, NIST, and the many university groups whose data underpins TR 38.901. The 6G channel modeling community, including the Hexa-X consortium, IEEE ComSoc, and ITU-R Study Group 3, continues to push the boundaries of our understanding of sub-THz and beyond-100-GHz propagation.
For engineers who wish to implement these models in their own simulations, the MATLAB 5G Toolbox and the open-source QuaDRiGa (Quasi-Deterministic Radio Channel Generator) from Fraunhofer HHI both provide TR 38.901-compliant channel model implementations. The 3GPP specification itself (TR 38.901 v17.0.0) is freely available from the 3GPP document server at www.3gpp.org.
The author maintains a collection of interactive propagation calculators and visualization tools at CafeTele. For questions, corrections, or contributions to this guide, please reach out through the comments section below or via LinkedIn.